OpenAI's infrastructure has faced repeated strain in recent weeks, with a notable multi-hour disruption on September 3 affecting ChatGPT, Codex, logins, file uploads, image generation, and other features amid simultaneous issues at Anthropic and xAI. Follow-on incidents on September 8 involved image generation and file processing errors, while September 11–12 saw partial degradation in ChatGPT Work mode and GPT-5.6 API performance, each resolved within hours through mitigations. These events reflect scaling pressures from a massive user base, shared compute dependencies, and rapid model iteration, including teasers for upcoming releases like GPT-6 Astra. Traders monitoring full-outage probabilities weigh OpenAI's history of quick recoveries against the risk of broader failures as demand and complexity grow.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoInterrupção total do ChatGPT por...?
Interrupção total do ChatGPT por...?
$15,468 Vol.
30 set 2026
30 de setembro
20%
$15,468 Vol.
30 de setembro
$5,986 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's infrastructure has faced repeated strain in recent weeks, with a notable multi-hour disruption on September 3 affecting ChatGPT, Codex, logins, file uploads, image generation, and other features amid simultaneous issues at Anthropic and xAI. Follow-on incidents on September 8 involved image generation and file processing errors, while September 11–12 saw partial degradation in ChatGPT Work mode and GPT-5.6 API performance, each resolved within hours through mitigations. These events reflect scaling pressures from a massive user base, shared compute dependencies, and rapid model iteration, including teasers for upcoming releases like GPT-6 Astra. Traders monitoring full-outage probabilities weigh OpenAI's history of quick recoveries against the risk of broader failures as demand and complexity grow.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 26, 2026, 6:15 AM ET
Volume
$15,468Data de Término
30 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 26, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's infrastructure has faced repeated strain in recent weeks, with a notable multi-hour disruption on September 3 affecting ChatGPT, Codex, logins, file uploads, image generation, and other features amid simultaneous issues at Anthropic and xAI. Follow-on incidents on September 8 involved image generation and file processing errors, while September 11–12 saw partial degradation in ChatGPT Work mode and GPT-5.6 API performance, each resolved within hours through mitigations. These events reflect scaling pressures from a massive user base, shared compute dependencies, and rapid model iteration, including teasers for upcoming releases like GPT-6 Astra. Traders monitoring full-outage probabilities weigh OpenAI's history of quick recoveries against the risk of broader failures as demand and complexity grow.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$15,468Data de Término
30 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 26, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's infrastructure has faced repeated strain in recent weeks, with a notable multi-hour disruption on September 3 affecting ChatGPT, Codex, logins, file uploads, image generation, and other features amid simultaneous issues at Anthropic and xAI. Follow-on incidents on September 8 involved image generation and file processing errors, while September 11–12 saw partial degradation in ChatGPT Work mode and GPT-5.6 API performance, each resolved within hours through mitigations. These events reflect scaling pressures from a massive user base, shared compute dependencies, and rapid model iteration, including teasers for upcoming releases like GPT-6 Astra. Traders monitoring full-outage probabilities weigh OpenAI's history of quick recoveries against the risk of broader failures as demand and complexity grow.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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