Anthropic’s Claude lineup, anchored by the June release of Mythos-class Fable 5 and the July 24 launch of Opus 5, underpins the 100% market-implied probability that it holds the best AI model by end of August 2026. These models lead independent benchmarks such as BenchAlign v5, SWE-bench Pro/Verified, and the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index, with superior scores on agentic coding, long-context reasoning, and knowledge-work tasks that outpace OpenAI and Google offerings. Traders cite consistent frontier performance across verified evaluations and competitive pricing as the decisive factors. A late-month surprise release from a rival that surpasses these scores on arena.ai or similar leaderboards could still shift the outcome, though no such development has materialized.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQual empresa tem o melhor modelo de IA no final de agosto?
Qual empresa tem o melhor modelo de IA no final de agosto?
Anthropic 100.0%
Meta <1%
Google <1%
Alibaba <1%
$3,266,863 Vol.
$3,266,863 Vol.
31 ago 2026
Anthropic
Sim
Meta
Não
Não
Alibaba
Não
Moonshot
Não
OpenAI
Não
Baidu
Não
Z.ai
Não
Xiaomi
Não
SpaceXAI
Não
DeepSeek
Não
Amazon
Não
Bytedance
Não
Nvidia
Não
Thinky
Não
MiniMax
Não
Mistral
Não
Meituan
Não
Tencent
Não
StepFun
Não
Microsoft
Não
Anthropic 100.0%
Meta <1%
Google <1%
Alibaba <1%
$3,266,863 Vol.
$3,266,863 Vol.
31 ago 2026
Anthropic
$526,709 Vol.
Sim
Meta
$187,472 Vol.
Não
$254,942 Vol.
Não
Alibaba
$166,773 Vol.
Não
Moonshot
$119,985 Vol.
Não
OpenAI
$253,449 Vol.
Não
Baidu
$35,032 Vol.
Não
Z.ai
$238,039 Vol.
Não
Xiaomi
$50,863 Vol.
Não
SpaceXAI
$222,111 Vol.
Não
DeepSeek
$300,795 Vol.
Não
Amazon
$19,778 Vol.
Não
Bytedance
$675,514 Vol.
Não
Nvidia
$22,115 Vol.
Não
Thinky
$24,084 Vol.
Não
MiniMax
$38,168 Vol.
Não
Mistral
$25,351 Vol.
Não
Meituan
$23,803 Vol.
Não
Tencent
$14,363 Vol.
Não
StepFun
$24,993 Vol.
Não
Microsoft
$42,524 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic’s Claude lineup, anchored by the June release of Mythos-class Fable 5 and the July 24 launch of Opus 5, underpins the 100% market-implied probability that it holds the best AI model by end of August 2026. These models lead independent benchmarks such as BenchAlign v5, SWE-bench Pro/Verified, and the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index, with superior scores on agentic coding, long-context reasoning, and knowledge-work tasks that outpace OpenAI and Google offerings. Traders cite consistent frontier performance across verified evaluations and competitive pricing as the decisive factors. A late-month surprise release from a rival that surpasses these scores on arena.ai or similar leaderboards could still shift the outcome, though no such development has materialized.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercado Aberto: Jul 16, 2026, 11:09 PM ET
Volume
$3,266,863Data de Término
1 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 16, 2026, 11:09 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-controlResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Sim
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Sim
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic’s Claude lineup, anchored by the June release of Mythos-class Fable 5 and the July 24 launch of Opus 5, underpins the 100% market-implied probability that it holds the best AI model by end of August 2026. These models lead independent benchmarks such as BenchAlign v5, SWE-bench Pro/Verified, and the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index, with superior scores on agentic coding, long-context reasoning, and knowledge-work tasks that outpace OpenAI and Google offerings. Traders cite consistent frontier performance across verified evaluations and competitive pricing as the decisive factors. A late-month surprise release from a rival that surpasses these scores on arena.ai or similar leaderboards could still shift the outcome, though no such development has materialized.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$3,266,863Data de Término
1 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 16, 2026, 11:09 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-controlResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Sim
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Sim
Anthropic’s Claude lineup, anchored by the June release of Mythos-class Fable 5 and the July 24 launch of Opus 5, underpins the 100% market-implied probability that it holds the best AI model by end of August 2026. These models lead independent benchmarks such as BenchAlign v5, SWE-bench Pro/Verified, and the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index, with superior scores on agentic coding, long-context reasoning, and knowledge-work tasks that outpace OpenAI and Google offerings. Traders cite consistent frontier performance across verified evaluations and competitive pricing as the decisive factors. A late-month surprise release from a rival that surpasses these scores on arena.ai or similar leaderboards could still shift the outcome, though no such development has materialized.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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