Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's late-May order directing the military to expand control over 70% of Gaza has heightened tensions and further complicated prospects for an International Stabilization Force under the U.S.-backed transition plan. The fragile October 2025 ceasefire remains in place but faces repeated violations, with ongoing strikes and stalled implementation of UN Security Council Resolution 2803, which authorized the force and a Board of Peace transitional authority. Pledges from countries including Indonesia, Morocco, Kazakhstan, Kosovo, and Albania have not translated into deployments, as Hamas continues to reject disarmament and any external security presence. Humanitarian conditions continue to deteriorate, while indirect talks on the next phase of the plan remain deadlocked. These factors shape trader assessments of whether non-Israeli, non-Palestinian forces will begin operations in Gaza by key resolution dates such as June 30.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$615,400 Vol.

30 de junho
12%
$615,400 Vol.

30 de junho
12%
The foreign personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
Entering Israeli controlled buffer zones will not qualify.
Egyptian or other forces operating solely along the Egyptian/Gaza border will not qualify regardless of if they cross the border.
Foreign personnel carrying out individual special operations, diplomatic missions, or solely humanitarian operations will not qualify.
Qualifying deployments must involve active-duty personnel of at least one foreign state or international institution (e.g., the UN or multinational missions) who are officially sent to Gaza for an operational role (e.g., peacekeeping, convoy escort, detention, logistical support). To qualify, the deployment must occur within the specified timeframe; mere announcements will not suffice.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 18, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The foreign personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
Entering Israeli controlled buffer zones will not qualify.
Egyptian or other forces operating solely along the Egyptian/Gaza border will not qualify regardless of if they cross the border.
Foreign personnel carrying out individual special operations, diplomatic missions, or solely humanitarian operations will not qualify.
Qualifying deployments must involve active-duty personnel of at least one foreign state or international institution (e.g., the UN or multinational missions) who are officially sent to Gaza for an operational role (e.g., peacekeeping, convoy escort, detention, logistical support). To qualify, the deployment must occur within the specified timeframe; mere announcements will not suffice.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's late-May order directing the military to expand control over 70% of Gaza has heightened tensions and further complicated prospects for an International Stabilization Force under the U.S.-backed transition plan. The fragile October 2025 ceasefire remains in place but faces repeated violations, with ongoing strikes and stalled implementation of UN Security Council Resolution 2803, which authorized the force and a Board of Peace transitional authority. Pledges from countries including Indonesia, Morocco, Kazakhstan, Kosovo, and Albania have not translated into deployments, as Hamas continues to reject disarmament and any external security presence. Humanitarian conditions continue to deteriorate, while indirect talks on the next phase of the plan remain deadlocked. These factors shape trader assessments of whether non-Israeli, non-Palestinian forces will begin operations in Gaza by key resolution dates such as June 30.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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