Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Earn 4%Politics

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

27%

Gavin Newsom

$652m Vol.

$6m today

$33m Liq.

487

Ends in over 2 years

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Earn 4%Politics

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

48%

J.D. Vance

$282m Vol.

$4m today

$14m Liq.

248

Ends in over 2 years

Presidential Election Winner 2028
Earn 4%Politics

Presidential Election Winner 2028

25%

JD Vance

$287m Vol.

$4m today

$20m Liq.

637

Ends in over 2 years

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Earn 4%Politics

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

44%

$9m Vol.

$204k today

$598k Liq.

5,422

Ends in 11 months

Which party will win the House in 2026?
Earn 4%Politics

Which party will win the House in 2026?

84%

Democratic Party

$3m Vol.

$108k today

$501k Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Earn 4%Politics

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

2%

$2m Vol.

$78.3k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Earn 4%Politics

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

47%

R Senate, D House

$2m Vol.

$329k Liq.

83

Ends in 9 months

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Earn 4%Politics

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

11%

$8m Vol.

$558k Liq.

71

Ends in 11 months

Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026?
Earn 4%Politics

Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026?

13%

$2m Vol.

$108k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

9%

$6m Vol.

$243k Liq.

705

Ends in 11 months

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Earn 4%Politics

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

27%

$2m Vol.

$48.3k Liq.

89

Ends in 11 months

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Earn 4%Politics

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

10%

$420k Vol.

$78.7k Liq.

31

Ends in 11 months

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Earn 4%Politics

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

40%

$345k Vol.

$20.4k Liq.

28

Ends in 11 months

Erdoğan out by end of 2026?
Earn 4%Politics

Erdoğan out by end of 2026?

7%

$178k Vol.

$15.1k Liq.

5

Ends in 11 months

Trump impeached by end of 2026?
Earn 4%Politics

Trump impeached by end of 2026?

12%

$419k Vol.

$46.6k Liq.

22

Ends in 11 months

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
Earn 4%Politics

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

54%

Democratic

$1m Vol.

$605k Liq.

56

Ends in over 2 years

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Earn 4%Politics

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

63%

Republican Party

$534k Vol.

$195k Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Earn 4%.

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Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like "Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?". You buy shares in "yes" or "no" outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that's a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028," you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028," where the crowd is currently assigning a 27% chance to Gavin Newsom. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Earn 4% predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.