Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

24%

Gavin Newsom

$912M Vol.

$6M today

$44M Liq.

609

Ends in over 2 years

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

18%

JD Vance

$454M Vol.

$4M today

$31M Liq.

772

Ends in over 2 years

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

37%

J.D. Vance

$472M Vol.

$3M today

$29M Liq.

311

Ends in over 2 years

Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

51%

December 31

$70M Vol.

$2M today

$2M Liq.

30

Ends in 9 months

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

10%

$14M Vol.

$310K today

$564K Liq.

71

Ends in 9 months

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

<1%

$9M Vol.

$177K today

$245K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

48%

Democrats Sweep

$4M Vol.

$131K today

$493K Liq.

133

Ends in 7 months

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

84%

Democratic Party

$4M Vol.

$418K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

9%

$7M Vol.

$170K Liq.

705

Ends in 9 months

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

34%

$12M Vol.

$385K Liq.

5,424

Ends in 9 months

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

13%

$3M Vol.

$170K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

52%

Republican Party

$1M Vol.

$305K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

21%

$2M Vol.

$60.7K Liq.

89

Ends in 9 months

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

57%

Democratic

$2M Vol.

$745K Liq.

60

Ends in over 2 years

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

15%

$275K Vol.

$17.8K Liq.

5

Ends in 9 months

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

11%

$638K Vol.

$64.4K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

7%

$509K Vol.

$41.3K Liq.

31

Ends in 9 months

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

62%

$10.5K Vol.

$13.2K Liq.

Ends in almost 3 years

VEO 4 released by...?

VEO 4 released by...?

2%

March 31

$27.6K Vol.

$14.4K Liq.

1

Ends in 5 days

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

46%

1

$399K Vol.

$20.5K Liq.

9

Ends in about 1 year

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Earn 4%.

Polymarket currently hosts 119 active markets for Earn 4% that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.0B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 24% chance to Gavin Newsom. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Earn 4% predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.