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Ali Khamenei predictions & odds

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Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

99%

Lula da Silva

$391K Vol.

$240K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

67%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$7M Vol.

$83.7K today

$2M Liq.

100

Ends in 8 months

Khamenei # posts April 28 - May 5, 2026?

Khamenei # posts April 28 - May 5, 2026?

100%

<5

$12.4K Vol.

$5.7K Liq.

Khamenei # posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?

57%

5-9

$3.8K Vol.

$4.0K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Khamenei # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

32%

5-9

$1.6K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

9%

May 31

$2M Vol.

$19.4K Liq.

163

Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

31%

December 31

$13M Vol.

$216K today

$245K Liq.

1,072

Ends in 8 months

Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?

Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?

4%

$17.2K Vol.

$18.5K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 days

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?

9%

June 30

$1M Vol.

$45.8K Liq.

65

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

2%

$16M Vol.

$472K today

$900K Liq.

1

Ends in 24 days

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

5%

$38M Vol.

$1M today

$674K Liq.

2

Ends in about 2 months

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

16%

June 30, 2026

$757K Vol.

$21.6K Liq.

44

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

16%

$17M Vol.

$339K today

$344K Liq.

6

Ends in 8 months

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

10%

$560K Vol.

$43.2K Liq.

25

Ends in 8 months

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

9%

$714K Vol.

$43.7K Liq.

23

Ends in about 2 months

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

73%

June 30

$14M Vol.

$1M today

$312K Liq.

333

Ends in about 2 months

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

10%

December 31

$17M Vol.

$138K today

$473K Liq.

369

Ends in about 2 months

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

71%

Iran

$6.8K Vol.

$29.3K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 days

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

5%

Any U.S. House member

$380K Vol.

$121K Liq.

4

Ends in about 2 months

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Brazilian President?

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Brazilian President?

71%

BRICS

$2.0K Vol.

$9.5K Liq.

1

Ends in about 3 hours

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 103 active markets for Ali Khamenei that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Who will Trump meet with in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $127.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 96% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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