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icon for Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

icon for Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

$596,192 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$596,192 Vol.

Polymarket

June 30

$144,845 Vol.

9%

December 31

$135,369 Vol.

25%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Masoud Pezeshkian continues to hold Iran's presidency amid the ongoing US-Israel conflict, with recent statements emphasizing wartime footing and diplomatic outreach while facing reports of internal friction with Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps commanders over military decisions. In early May 2026 he publicly highlighted a constructive meeting with Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei to counter narratives of leadership division, shortly after unnamed sources suggested he had weighed resignation before securing direct access to the recovering leader. State media and presidential aides have dismissed resignation rumors as fabricated, stressing joint decision-making. Traders are monitoring how sustained attacks on infrastructure and any escalation or de-escalation in hostilities could influence his position through constitutional or political pressures before the end of his term.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$596,192
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 8, 2026, 6:54 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Masoud Pezeshkian continues to hold Iran's presidency amid the ongoing US-Israel conflict, with recent statements emphasizing wartime footing and diplomatic outreach while facing reports of internal friction with Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps commanders over military decisions. In early May 2026 he publicly highlighted a constructive meeting with Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei to counter narratives of leadership division, shortly after unnamed sources suggested he had weighed resignation before securing direct access to the recovering leader. State media and presidential aides have dismissed resignation rumors as fabricated, stressing joint decision-making. Traders are monitoring how sustained attacks on infrastructure and any escalation or de-escalation in hostilities could influence his position through constitutional or political pressures before the end of his term.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$596,192
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 8, 2026, 6:54 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31" at 25%, followed by "June 30" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?" has generated $596.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 8, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?" is "December 31" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "June 30" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.