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LíBano previsões e probabilidades

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Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

14%

July 31

$3M Vol.

$242K today

$160K Liq.

50

Ends em 14 dias

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

84%

June 30

$49.6K Vol.

$30.2K Liq.

1

Ends em 15 dias

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

20%

$182K Vol.

$16.2K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

5%

Amal Movement (Amal)

$570K Vol.

$130K Liq.

15

Ends há 16 dias

Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

12%

$8.0K Vol.

$10.1K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

42%

$685 Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

1

Ends em 7 meses

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

34%

Somaliland

$721K Vol.

$84.9K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

100%

France

$479K Vol.

$51.9K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

3%

Lebanon

$437K Vol.

$90.7K Liq.

Ends em 14 dias

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

18%

Venezuela

$66.4K Vol.

$175K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?

Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?

2%

June 30

$40.5K Vol.

$9.4K Liq.

Ends há 16 dias

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?

3%

$84.7K Vol.

$10.6K Liq.

Ends em 14 dias

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

21%

June 30

$132K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

22

Ends há 9 dias

Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?

Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?

4%

June 30

$62.5K Vol.

$17.6K Liq.

Ends há 9 dias

Israeli forces enter Choukine by...?

Israeli forces enter Choukine by...?

31%

June 30

$98.0K Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

4

Ends há 9 dias

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

14%

June 30

$46.3K Vol.

$9.3K Liq.

4

Ends há cerca de 2 meses

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

15%

December 31

$3M Vol.

$23.8K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

3%

June 30

$81.1K Vol.

$17.0K Liq.

8

Ends em 14 dias

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

8%

June 30

$165K Vol.

$7.4K Liq.

10

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

31%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$9.8K Liq.

135

Ends em 7 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like LíBano.

Polymarket currently hosts 116 active markets for LíBano that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $11.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will Hezbollah disarm by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will Hezbollah disarm by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 14% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on LíBano predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.