Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Lebanon·Politics

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

77%

$6M Vol.

$245K today

$140K Liq.

Ends in 10 days

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?
Lebanon·Strike

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

89%

March 22

$175K Vol.

$88.3K today

$74.5K Liq.

26

Ends in 10 days

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner
Lebanon·Politics

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

14%

Lebanese Forces (LF)

$201K Vol.

$99.9K Liq.

13

Ends in 2 months

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Lebanon·Politics

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

27%

$55.4K Vol.

$7.7K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?
Lebanon·Middle East

Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

23%

$0 Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Israel military action against Beirut on...?
Lebanon·Strike

Israel military action against Beirut on...?

74%

March 22

$84.7K Vol.

$25.1K Liq.

Ends in 10 days

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?
Lebanon·Politics

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

100%

March 31

$766K Vol.

$76.7K Liq.

Ends in 10 days

Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?
Lebanon·Iran

Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?

13%

April 30

$28.7K Vol.

$23.8K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
Lebanon·Iran

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

34%

$7.4K Vol.

$6.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?
Lebanon·Politics

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?

8%

$127K Vol.

$16.4K Liq.

15

Ends in 10 days

How many different countries will Israel strike in March?
Lebanon·Politics

How many different countries will Israel strike in March?

62%

3

$316K Vol.

$67.1K today

$26.7K Liq.

Ends in 10 days

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?
Lebanon·Iran

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?

37%

June 30

$275K Vol.

$37.1K Liq.

5

Ends in 3 months

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
Lebanon·Politics

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

18%

March 31, 2026

$357K Vol.

$7.8K Liq.

15

Ends in 10 days

Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?
Lebanon·Strike

Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?

88%

March 21

$999 Vol.

$20.0K Liq.

Ends in 10 days

Iran military action against ___ by March 31?
Lebanon·Politics

Iran military action against ___ by March 31?

98%

UAE

$2M Vol.

$64.1K today

$192K Liq.

413

Ends in 10 days

What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?
Lebanon·Politics

What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?

90%

Hormuz

$36.2K Vol.

$4.7K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?
Lebanon·Politics

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

19%

Venezuela

$7.9K Vol.

$33.8K Liq.

11

Ends in 3 months

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Lebanon·Politics

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

25%

Syria

$255K Vol.

$40.7K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?
Lebanon·Crypto

MegaETH airdrop by...?

49%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$10.4K Liq.

107

Ends in 3 months

Iran military action against Israel on...?
Lebanon·Strike

Iran military action against Israel on...?

83%

March 22

$247K Vol.

$138K today

$71.5K Liq.

286

Ends in 10 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Lebanon.

Polymarket currently hosts 121 active markets for Lebanon that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $13.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Iran military action against ___ by March 31?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 77% chance to Yes. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Lebanon predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.