Lebanon’s government recently approved a renewable four-month timeline for the Lebanese Armed Forces to advance the second phase of a national arms-control plan north of the Litani River, building on partial progress achieved south of the river under the post-2024 ceasefire framework. Hezbollah immediately rejected the timeline and the broader disarmament effort, with Secretary-General Naim Qassem describing it as a mistake that advances Israeli objectives and reiterating demands for full Israeli withdrawal, an end to strikes, prisoner releases, and reconstruction before any weapons handover. The U.S.-brokered trilateral process with Israel remains stalled over sequencing, while Washington has signaled readiness to discuss firmer measures and warned that Israeli action cannot be ruled out absent concrete steps. EU officials have echoed calls for exclusive state control over weapons, and Israeli assessments note Hezbollah’s ongoing rebuilding efforts with external support. Upcoming diplomatic contacts, including a planned Netanyahu-Trump meeting, and domestic political pressures in Lebanon and Israel add near-term variables to the disarmament timeline.