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Hezbollah predictions & odds

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Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

4%

May 31

$27.8K Vol.

$17.6K Liq.

8

Ends in 25 days

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

4%

May 31

$121K Vol.

$28.8K Liq.

22

Ends in 25 days

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

13%

June 30

$504K Vol.

$159K Liq.

11

Ends in 25 days

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

44%

$552K Vol.

$36.9K Liq.

138

Ends in about 2 months

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

30%

June 30

$34.3K Vol.

$20.8K Liq.

4

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

8%

December 31

$1M Vol.

$13.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

35%

December 31

$6M Vol.

$112K today

$389K Liq.

104

Ends in 8 months

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

18%

June 30, 2026

$753K Vol.

$19.7K Liq.

44

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

8%

Lebanese Forces (LF)

$516K Vol.

$261K Liq.

12

Ends in 25 days

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

7%

June 30

$560K Vol.

$85.8K Liq.

14

Ends in about 2 months

LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs Citadel Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season

LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs Citadel Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season

90%

Citadel Gaming

$23 Vol.

$14.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?

56%

$46.6K Vol.

$12.2K Liq.

6

Ends in 25 days

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

24%

$147K Vol.

$18.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

-

$1 Vol.

$141 Liq.

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

63%

$119 Vol.

$57 Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Khamenei # posts April 28 - May 5, 2026?

Khamenei # posts April 28 - May 5, 2026?

100%

<5

$12.0K Vol.

$20.0K Liq.

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

89%

Team Falcons

$10.6K Vol.

$115K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

1%

US Confirms Aliens Exist

$230K Vol.

$21.3K Liq.

3

Ends in 6 months

Khamenei # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

41%

<5

$726 Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

8%

May 31

$824K Vol.

$25.6K Liq.

45

Ends in 25 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Hezbollah.

Polymarket currently hosts 110 active markets for Hezbollah that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $10.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 35% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Hezbollah predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.