Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?
Hezbollah·Strike

Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?

96%

March 21

$8.2K Vol.

$29.1K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 days

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?
Hezbollah·Strike

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

93%

March 22

$198K Vol.

$86.7K today

$61.8K Liq.

38

Ends in 9 days

Israel military action against Beirut on...?
Hezbollah·Strike

Israel military action against Beirut on...?

79%

March 24

$61.7K Vol.

$23.9K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?
Hezbollah·Iran

Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?

13%

April 30

$34.8K Vol.

$31.5K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
Hezbollah·Iran

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

42%

$9.0K Vol.

$6.6K Liq.

2

Ends in 3 months

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?
Hezbollah·Iran

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?

38%

June 30

$281K Vol.

$36.8K Liq.

4

Ends in 3 months

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?
Hezbollah·Politics

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

100%

March 31

$769K Vol.

$77.4K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?
Hezbollah·Politics

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

79%

December 31

$5M Vol.

$455K today

$419K Liq.

247

Ends in 9 days

Iran military action against Israel on...?
Hezbollah·Strike

Iran military action against Israel on...?

98%

March 20

$393K Vol.

$178K today

$79.2K Liq.

374

Ends in 9 days

What will Iran strike by March 31?
Hezbollah·Iran

What will Iran strike by March 31?

47%

Ras Laffan Industrial City

$315K Vol.

$76.6K today

$55.4K Liq.

73

Iran military action against ___ by March 31?
Hezbollah·Politics

Iran military action against ___ by March 31?

92%

Saudi Arabia

$2M Vol.

$67.1K today

$208K Liq.

415

Ends in 9 days

Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
Hezbollah·Iran

Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

16%

March 25

$84.0K Vol.

$83.7K Liq.

6

Ends in 9 days

How many ships will Iran successfully target by March 31?
Hezbollah·Iran

How many ships will Iran successfully target by March 31?

93%

<5

$20.4K Vol.

$39.8K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?
Hezbollah·Strike

Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?

94%

March 20

$38.6K Vol.

$27.9K Liq.

14

Ends in 9 days

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
Hezbollah·Politics

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

22%

March 31, 2026

$359K Vol.

$7.8K Liq.

15

Ends in 9 days

What will Trump post this week? (March 16 - March 22)
Hezbollah·Politics

What will Trump post this week? (March 16 - March 22)

36%

Stupid

$77.3K Vol.

$3.5K Liq.

Ends in about 3 hours

What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?
Hezbollah·Politics

What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?

91%

Hormuz

$37.8K Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner
Hezbollah·Politics

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

14%

Lebanese Forces (LF)

$128K Vol.

$99.7K Liq.

13

Ends in 2 months

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Hezbollah·Politics

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

97%

$7M Vol.

$731K today

$177K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Hezbollah·Politics

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

26%

$55.5K Vol.

$6.7K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Hezbollah.

Polymarket currently hosts 123 active markets for Hezbollah that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $16.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 97% chance to Yes. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Hezbollah predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.