Next French Presidential Election
France·Politics

Next French Presidential Election

26%

Jordan Bardella

$16M Vol.

$741K today

$2M Liq.

314

Ends in about 1 year

Who will win the Nice mayoral election?
France·Politics

Who will win the Nice mayoral election?

99%

Eric Ciotti

$276K Vol.

$106K Liq.

101

Ends in 2 months

Who will win the Lyon mayoral election?
France·Politics

Who will win the Lyon mayoral election?

74%

Grégory Doucet

$636K Vol.

$133K Liq.

34

Ends in 2 months

Marseille Mayoral Election Winner
France·Politics

Marseille Mayoral Election Winner

99%

Benoît Payan

$348K Vol.

$69.8K Liq.

16

Macron out by...?
France·Politics

Macron out by...?

3%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$38.1K Liq.

88

Ends in 3 months

French election called by...?
France·Politics

French election called by...?

12%

June 30, 2026

$1M Vol.

$4.9K Liq.

310

Lecornu out as French PM by...?
France·Politics

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

42%

December 31, 2026

$314K Vol.

$10.3K Liq.

111

Ends in 9 months

Paris Mayoral Election
France·Politics

Paris Mayoral Election

80%

Emmanuel Grégoire

$22M Vol.

$2M today

$717K Liq.

568

Ends in 10 days

Paris Mayoral Election Runoff: Margin of Victory
France·Politics

Paris Mayoral Election Runoff: Margin of Victory

64%

Emmanuel Grégoire <5%

$114K Vol.

$64.6K Liq.

Ends in about 18 hours

Next Toulouse Mayor after municipal election?
France·Politics

Next Toulouse Mayor after municipal election?

55%

Jean-Luc Moudenc

$426K Vol.

$58.9K Liq.

12

Ends in about 18 hours

Toulon Mayoral Election Winner
France·Politics

Toulon Mayoral Election Winner

59%

Josée Massi

$143K Vol.

$47.4K Liq.

4

Ends in about 18 hours

Le Havre Mayoral Election Winner
France·Politics

Le Havre Mayoral Election Winner

99%

Edouard Philippe

$121K Vol.

$36.3K Liq.

16

Ends in about 18 hours

Strasbourg Mayoral Election Winner
France·Politics

Strasbourg Mayoral Election Winner

52%

Catherine Trautmann

$2.7K Vol.

$21.5K Liq.

2

Ends in about 18 hours

Who will advance to 2026 Paris municipal election 2nd round?
France·Politics

Who will advance to 2026 Paris municipal election 2nd round?

100%

Rachida Dati

$154K Vol.

$27.6K Liq.

137

Hittler vs. Zielinski: Arcis-sur-Aube Mayoral Election Winner
France·Politics

Hittler vs. Zielinski: Arcis-sur-Aube Mayoral Election Winner

92%

Charles Hittler

$2.1K Vol.

$22.0K Liq.

11

Ends in about 18 hours

Left-Wing Wave in French Mayoral Elections?
France·Politics

Left-Wing Wave in French Mayoral Elections?

66%

$12.5K Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

6

Ends in about 18 hours

Right-Wing Wave in French Mayoral Elections?
France·Politics

Right-Wing Wave in French Mayoral Elections?

1%

$5.5K Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

1

Ends in about 18 hours

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?
France·Politics

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?

30%

$7.7K Vol.

$5.3K Liq.

19

Ends in 10 days

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?
France·Iran

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?

3%

$4M Vol.

$285K today

$71.3K Liq.

Ends in 10 days

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
France·Iran

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

14%

$443K Vol.

$69.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like France.

Polymarket currently hosts 172 active markets for France that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Next French Presidential Election”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $48.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Paris Mayoral Election,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Paris Mayoral Election,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 80% chance to Emmanuel Grégoire. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on France predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.