Next French Presidential Election

France

Politics

Next French Presidential Election

30%

Jordan Bardella

$6m Vol.

$429k today

$1m Liq.

253

Ends in about 1 year

Paris Mayoral Election

France

Politics

Paris Mayoral Election

75%

Emmanuel Grégoire

$2m Vol.

$88.0k today

$244k Liq.

249

Ends in about 2 months

French forces seize another oil tanker by Feb 28?

France

Politics

French forces seize another oil tanker by Feb 28?

19%

$7.8k Vol.

$1.9k Liq.

4

Ends in 17 days

Who will win the Nice mayoral election?

France

Politics

Who will win the Nice mayoral election?

57%

Christian Estrosi

$62.2k Vol.

$30.3k Liq.

17

Ends in 3 months

Macron out by...?

France

Politics

Macron out by...?

4%

June 30, 2026

$2m Vol.

$17.7k Liq.

86

Ends in 5 months

Marseille Mayoral Election Winner

France

Politics

Marseille Mayoral Election Winner

91%

Benoît Payan

$51.5k Vol.

$43.5k Liq.

12

Ends in about 1 month

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?

France

Politics

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?

24%

$3.7k Vol.

$2.6k Liq.

18

Ends in about 2 months

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

France

Politics

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

41%

December 31, 2026

$308k Vol.

$6.5k Liq.

111

Ends in 11 months

Who will win the Lyon mayoral election?

France

Politics

Who will win the Lyon mayoral election?

95%

Jean-Michel Aulas

$46.2k Vol.

$52.7k Liq.

7

Ends in 3 months

French election called by...?

France

Politics

French election called by...?

12%

June 30, 2026

$1m Vol.

$2.9k Liq.

310

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like France.

Polymarket currently hosts 10 active markets for France that lets you track or trade on predictions like "Next French Presidential Election". Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $11.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like "Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?". You buy shares in "yes" or "no" outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that's a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like "Next French Presidential Election," you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is "Next French Presidential Election," where the crowd is currently assigning a 30% chance to Jordan Bardella. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on France predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.