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Budget predictions & odds

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Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

44%

$6.1K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

39%

$4.4K Vol.

$5.7K Liq.

1

Ends in 25 days

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

35%

Tulsi Gabbard

$10.5K Vol.

$37.7K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

32%

2

$2.8K Vol.

$57.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?

Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?

13%

$997 Vol.

$955 Liq.

Ends in 8 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

80%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$8.5K Liq.

123

Ends in about 2 months

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

73%

↓ 0.0014

$107K Vol.

$8.4K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

95%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$1M Vol.

$47.9K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

82%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$47.8K Vol.

$60.9K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

99%

$180 billion

$83 Vol.

$663 Liq.

Ends in 12 months

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

18%

↑ $3

$633K Vol.

$23.7K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What price will Plasma hit in 2026?

What price will Plasma hit in 2026?

40%

↑ 0.50

$301K Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

13

Ends in 8 months

What price will Zcash hit in 2026?

What price will Zcash hit in 2026?

94%

↑ 600

$218K Vol.

$5.3K Liq.

9

Ends in 8 months

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in May 2026?

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in May 2026?

74%

↑ $288

$40.4K Vol.

$20.3K Liq.

Ends in 26 days

What price will XRP hit in May?

What price will XRP hit in May?

34%

↑ 1.60

$221K Vol.

$284K Liq.

Ends in 26 days

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

47%

December 31, 2027

$473K Vol.

$6.1K Liq.

33

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

60%

↓ 0.40

$66.7K Vol.

$2.7K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

25%

↑ 10 ETH

$3.5K Vol.

$337 Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

What price will BNB hit in 2026?

What price will BNB hit in 2026?

70%

↓ 500

$109K Vol.

$23.5K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in May 2026?

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in May 2026?

53%

↑ $4,800

$135K Vol.

$80.0K Liq.

Ends in 26 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Budget.

Polymarket currently hosts 107 active markets for Budget that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will France pass a national budget by December 31?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $5.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Major US official out by May 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 80% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Budget predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.