Trader consensus around a $6.00–$6.50 median on-demand B200 rental rate at end-August reflects sustained Blackwell supply growth offset by resilient AI demand. Aggregated listings from neocloud and marketplace providers showed medians clustered near $6.50–$6.69 per GPU-hour by late August, with dedicated tiers often $5.90–$6.99 and lower spot or reserved options pulling some quotes below $4. Broader price indices confirmed flat-to-modest upward movement since July, consistent with rising rates for H100 and A100 capacity rather than depreciation. Strong positioning stems from observed provider data and lack of capacity overhang signals. A rapid hyperscaler capacity release, sharp drop in training workloads, or breakthrough inference optimizations could still shift realized medians outside the bracket.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$6.00-$6.50 100.0%
<$5.50 <1%
$5.50-$6.00 <1%
$6.50-$7.00 <1%
$62,765 Vol.
$62,765 Vol.
<$5.50
No
$5.50-$6.00
No
$6.00-$6.50
Yes
$6.50-$7.00
No
$7.00-$7.50
No
$7.50+
No
$6.00-$6.50 100.0%
<$5.50 <1%
$5.50-$6.00 <1%
$6.50-$7.00 <1%
$62,765 Vol.
$62,765 Vol.
<$5.50
No
$5.50-$6.00
No
$6.00-$6.50
Yes
$6.50-$7.00
No
$7.00-$7.50
No
$7.50+
No
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus around a $6.00–$6.50 median on-demand B200 rental rate at end-August reflects sustained Blackwell supply growth offset by resilient AI demand. Aggregated listings from neocloud and marketplace providers showed medians clustered near $6.50–$6.69 per GPU-hour by late August, with dedicated tiers often $5.90–$6.99 and lower spot or reserved options pulling some quotes below $4. Broader price indices confirmed flat-to-modest upward movement since July, consistent with rising rates for H100 and A100 capacity rather than depreciation. Strong positioning stems from observed provider data and lack of capacity overhang signals. A rapid hyperscaler capacity release, sharp drop in training workloads, or breakthrough inference optimizations could still shift realized medians outside the bracket.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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