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Tech·AI

GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?

icon for GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?
Tech·AI

GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?

Sep 30

Oct 31

Dec 31

Sep 30

Oct 31

Dec 31

$6.50+ 63%

$6.00-$6.50 30%

$5.50-$6.00 5.3%

$5.00-$5.50 3.8%

Polymarket

$19,166 Vol.

$6.50+ 63%

$6.00-$6.50 30%

$5.50-$6.00 5.3%

$5.00-$5.50 3.8%

Polymarket

$19,166 Vol.

<$4.50

$329 Vol.

2%

$4.50-$5.00

$391 Vol.

2%

$5.00-$5.50

$632 Vol.

4%

$5.50-$6.00

$1,408 Vol.

5%

$6.00-$6.50

$2,650 Vol.

30%

$6.50+

$13,758 Vol.

63%

This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for October 31, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.Trader consensus favoring $6.50+ for B200 rental prices at end-October stems from persistent supply constraints on NVIDIA's Blackwell GPUs, driven by HBM3e memory shortages and TSMC CoWoS packaging limits that have kept most 2026 allocations sold out. Current marketplace data shows on-demand medians near $6.50 across providers like Lambda and Nebius, with spot rates lower but high-availability capacity scarce amid strong AI training and inference demand. Recent modest ramps, including Google Cloud A4 instances, introduce limited downside risk, yet enterprise uptake and pricing dispersion sustain the elevated implied probability. Key catalysts include October spot liquidity and any neo-cloud capacity additions before quarter-end.

This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for October 31, 2026.

If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.

Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for October 31, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$19,166
End Date
Oct 31, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 7:31 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for October 31, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.Trader consensus favoring $6.50+ for B200 rental prices at end-October stems from persistent supply constraints on NVIDIA's Blackwell GPUs, driven by HBM3e memory shortages and TSMC CoWoS packaging limits that have kept most 2026 allocations sold out. Current marketplace data shows on-demand medians near $6.50 across providers like Lambda and Nebius, with spot rates lower but high-availability capacity scarce amid strong AI training and inference demand. Recent modest ramps, including Google Cloud A4 instances, introduce limited downside risk, yet enterprise uptake and pricing dispersion sustain the elevated implied probability. Key catalysts include October spot liquidity and any neo-cloud capacity additions before quarter-end.

This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for October 31, 2026.

If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.

Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn B200 Index price for October 31, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$19,166
End Date
Oct 31, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 7:31 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "$6.50+" at 63%, followed by "$6.00-$6.50" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 63¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?" has generated $19.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?" is "$6.50+" at 63%, meaning the market assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "$6.00-$6.50" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.