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Nomination predictions & odds

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Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

<1%

$236K Vol.

$50.0K Liq.

1

Ends in 7 days

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___  by March 31?

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?

-

$0 Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

25%

Gavin Newsom

$1B Vol.

$2M today

$53M Liq.

722

Ends in over 2 years

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

38%

J.D. Vance

$606M Vol.

$2M today

$26M Liq.

382

Ends in over 2 years

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

17%

Kim Kardashian

$12.5K Vol.

$1M Liq.

Ends in over 2 years

Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

46%

The Odyssey

$17.0K Vol.

$5.2K Liq.

6

Ends in 10 months

Republican VP Nominee 2028

Republican VP Nominee 2028

23%

Steve Bannon

$6.3K Vol.

$1M Liq.

Ends in over 2 years

How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?

How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?

23%

54

$65.6K Vol.

$6.7K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

99%

Thom Tillis

$97.6K Vol.

$33.3K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

33%

$892 Vol.

$9.0K Liq.

2

Ends in over 2 years

Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?

Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?

14%

$1.3K Vol.

$16.3K Liq.

1

Ends in over 2 years

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

57%

Keith Sonderling

$40.6K Vol.

$67.9K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General?

Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General?

51%

No Announcement by June 30

$638K Vol.

$115K Liq.

19

Ends in about 2 months

Texas Senate Election Matchup

Texas Senate Election Matchup

61%

Talarico & Paxton

$710K Vol.

$72.6K Liq.

2

How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

76%

0

$4.6K Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

54%

1

$4.6K Vol.

$18.3K Liq.

MT-01 Republican Primary Winner

MT-01 Republican Primary Winner

89%

Aaron Flint

$896 Vol.

$16.7K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

MN-02 Republican Primary Winner

MN-02 Republican Primary Winner

92%

Eric Pratt

$19.5K Vol.

$15.0K Liq.

1

Ends in 3 months

MT-01 Democratic Primary Winner

MT-01 Democratic Primary Winner

56%

Ryan Busse

$2.1K Vol.

$31.2K Liq.

1

Ends in 25 days

Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff

Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff

32%

1.2–1.5M

$87.8K Vol.

$31.9K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Nomination.

Polymarket currently hosts 138 active markets for Nomination that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.7B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 25% chance to Gavin Newsom. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Nomination predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.