Market icon

Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

Market icon

Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

The Odyssey 53%

Dune: Messiah 20%

Disclosure Day 12%

Project Hail Mary 7.6%

Polymarket
NEW

The Odyssey 53%

Dune: Messiah 20%

Disclosure Day 12%

Project Hail Mary 7.6%

Polymarket
NEW

The Odyssey

$2,624 Vol.

53%

Dune: Messiah

$0 Vol.

20%

Disclosure Day

$0 Vol.

12%

Project Hail Mary

$0 Vol.

13%

The Bride!

$930 Vol.

1%

Wuthering Heights

$0 Vol.

7%

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film. In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus positions Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey as the clear frontrunner for most 99th Academy Award nominations at 52.5% implied probability, fueled by Nolan's post-Oppenheimer awards dominance, its mythic epic scale with stars like Matt Damon and Tom Holland, and early industry lists pegging it for sweeps in technical categories like Cinematography, Visual Effects, and Production Design alongside acting bids. Dune: Messiah holds steady at 20% on Denis Villeneuve's franchise momentum and Zendaya-Chalamet star power, while Project Hail Mary at 13.4% has surged recently on Ryan Gosling's buzzworthy lead performance and box-office smash debut last week, boosting its Best Actor and Adapted Screenplay prospects. Steven Spielberg's Disclosure Day (11.5%) benefits from prestige pedigree, but Emerald Fennell's Wuthering Heights (7%) and Maggie Gyllenhaal's The Bride! (1.2%) trail amid lighter early campaign traction; watch festival premieres and guild whispers for shifts as 2026 releases unfold.

Trader consensus positions Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey as the clear frontrunner for most 99th Academy Award nominations at 52.5% implied probability, fueled by Nolan's post-Oppenheimer awards dominance, its mythic epic scale with stars like Matt Damon and Tom Holland, and early industry lists pegging it for sweeps in technical categories like Cinematography, Visual Effects, and Production Design alongside acting bids. Dune: Messiah holds steady at 20% on Denis Villeneuve's franchise momentum and Zendaya-Chalamet star power, while Project Hail Mary at 13.4% has surged recently on Ryan Gosling's buzzworthy lead performance and box-office smash debut last week, boosting its Best Actor and Adapted Screenplay prospects. Steven Spielberg's Disclosure Day (11.5%) benefits from prestige pedigree, but Emerald Fennell's Wuthering Heights (7%) and Maggie Gyllenhaal's The Bride! (1.2%) trail amid lighter early campaign traction; watch festival premieres and guild whispers for shifts as 2026 releases unfold.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film. In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus positions Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey as the clear frontrunner for most 99th Academy Award nominations at 52.5% implied probability, fueled by Nolan's post-Oppenheimer awards dominance, its mythic epic scale with stars like Matt Damon and Tom Holland, and early industry lists pegging it for sweeps in technical categories like Cinematography, Visual Effects, and Production Design alongside acting bids. Dune: Messiah holds steady at 20% on Denis Villeneuve's franchise momentum and Zendaya-Chalamet star power, while Project Hail Mary at 13.4% has surged recently on Ryan Gosling's buzzworthy lead performance and box-office smash debut last week, boosting its Best Actor and Adapted Screenplay prospects. Steven Spielberg's Disclosure Day (11.5%) benefits from prestige pedigree, but Emerald Fennell's Wuthering Heights (7%) and Maggie Gyllenhaal's The Bride! (1.2%) trail amid lighter early campaign traction; watch festival premieres and guild whispers for shifts as 2026 releases unfold.

Trader consensus positions Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey as the clear frontrunner for most 99th Academy Award nominations at 52.5% implied probability, fueled by Nolan's post-Oppenheimer awards dominance, its mythic epic scale with stars like Matt Damon and Tom Holland, and early industry lists pegging it for sweeps in technical categories like Cinematography, Visual Effects, and Production Design alongside acting bids. Dune: Messiah holds steady at 20% on Denis Villeneuve's franchise momentum and Zendaya-Chalamet star power, while Project Hail Mary at 13.4% has surged recently on Ryan Gosling's buzzworthy lead performance and box-office smash debut last week, boosting its Best Actor and Adapted Screenplay prospects. Steven Spielberg's Disclosure Day (11.5%) benefits from prestige pedigree, but Emerald Fennell's Wuthering Heights (7%) and Maggie Gyllenhaal's The Bride! (1.2%) trail amid lighter early campaign traction; watch festival premieres and guild whispers for shifts as 2026 releases unfold.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

Related

Market icon

Will Scream 7 be the February film with the highest domestic gross on March 31?

100%
Market icon

Will Project Hail Mary be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?

99%
Market icon

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" be the April film with the highest domestic gross on May 31?

99%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "The Odyssey" at 53%, followed by "Dune: Messiah" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 53¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Feb 2, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?" is "The Odyssey" at 53%, meaning the market assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Dune: Messiah" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.