Market icon

Richest person on December 31, 2026?

Market icon

Richest person on December 31, 2026?

Mar 31

Dec 31

Mar 31

Dec 31

Elon Musk 89%

Jensen Huang 3.0%

Jeff Bezos 2.4%

Mark Zuckerberg 1.7%

Polymarket

$1,242,069 Vol.

Elon Musk 89%

Jensen Huang 3.0%

Jeff Bezos 2.4%

Mark Zuckerberg 1.7%

Polymarket

$1,242,069 Vol.

Market icon

Elon Musk

$104,242 Vol.

89%

Market icon

Jensen Huang

$115,268 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Jeff Bezos

$291,894 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Mark Zuckerberg

$103,269 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Warren Buffett

$29,921 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Larry Ellison

$34,722 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Steve Ballmer

$219,644 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Bernard Arnault

$224,119 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Sergey Brin

$19,168 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Larry Page

$99,821 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Trader consensus gives Elon Musk an overwhelming 88.5% implied probability of being the richest person on December 31, 2026, reflecting his dominant $810 billion net worth—a chasm over rivals—fueled by February's blockbuster SpaceX-xAI merger that valued the entity at $1.25 trillion and propelled his fortune past $800 billion. Forbes' March 10 Billionaires List locked in Musk at $839 billion, dwarfing Jensen Huang's $145 billion (3.4% odds) despite Nvidia's AI-fueled surges, Jeff Bezos' steady Amazon gains (2.1%), and others like Zuckerberg or Buffett lagging further. The vast gap demands unprecedented rallies for challengers, though nine months of volatile tech valuations and private company shifts keep slim upset potential alive.

Trader consensus gives Elon Musk an overwhelming 88.5% implied probability of being the richest person on December 31, 2026, reflecting his dominant $810 billion net worth—a chasm over rivals—fueled by February's blockbuster SpaceX-xAI merger that valued the entity at $1.25 trillion and propelled his fortune past $800 billion. Forbes' March 10 Billionaires List locked in Musk at $839 billion, dwarfing Jensen Huang's $145 billion (3.4% odds) despite Nvidia's AI-fueled surges, Jeff Bezos' steady Amazon gains (2.1%), and others like Zuckerberg or Buffett lagging further. The vast gap demands unprecedented rallies for challengers, though nine months of volatile tech valuations and private company shifts keep slim upset potential alive.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Trader consensus gives Elon Musk an overwhelming 88.5% implied probability of being the richest person on December 31, 2026, reflecting his dominant $810 billion net worth—a chasm over rivals—fueled by February's blockbuster SpaceX-xAI merger that valued the entity at $1.25 trillion and propelled his fortune past $800 billion. Forbes' March 10 Billionaires List locked in Musk at $839 billion, dwarfing Jensen Huang's $145 billion (3.4% odds) despite Nvidia's AI-fueled surges, Jeff Bezos' steady Amazon gains (2.1%), and others like Zuckerberg or Buffett lagging further. The vast gap demands unprecedented rallies for challengers, though nine months of volatile tech valuations and private company shifts keep slim upset potential alive.

Trader consensus gives Elon Musk an overwhelming 88.5% implied probability of being the richest person on December 31, 2026, reflecting his dominant $810 billion net worth—a chasm over rivals—fueled by February's blockbuster SpaceX-xAI merger that valued the entity at $1.25 trillion and propelled his fortune past $800 billion. Forbes' March 10 Billionaires List locked in Musk at $839 billion, dwarfing Jensen Huang's $145 billion (3.4% odds) despite Nvidia's AI-fueled surges, Jeff Bezos' steady Amazon gains (2.1%), and others like Zuckerberg or Buffett lagging further. The vast gap demands unprecedented rallies for challengers, though nine months of volatile tech valuations and private company shifts keep slim upset potential alive.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

Related

Market icon

Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?

31%
Market icon

Will Jensen Huang be 3rd richest person on December 31?

31%
Market icon

Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?

95%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Richest person on December 31, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Elon Musk" at 89%, followed by "Jensen Huang" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 89¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Richest person on December 31, 2026?" has generated $1.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Richest person on December 31, 2026?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Richest person on December 31, 2026?" is "Elon Musk" at 89%, meaning the market assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jensen Huang" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Richest person on December 31, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.