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Anthropic predictions & odds

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Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?

18%

$31.1K Vol.

$23.2K Liq.

1

Ends in 25 days

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

98%

No IPO by June 30, 2026

$1M Vol.

$90.7K Liq.

5

Ends in about 2 months

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

60%

None in 2026

$48.6K Vol.

$25.2K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

Will Claude go down on __ days in May?

Will Claude go down on __ days in May?

45%

12+

$9.6K Vol.

$6.5K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

25%

1.8T+

$13.1K Vol.

$33.6K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Claude Mythos released by…?

Claude Mythos released by…?

15%

June 30

$355K Vol.

$6.9K Liq.

19

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

88%

600B+

$292K Vol.

$46.3K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?

Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?

98%

$22.2K Vol.

$11.5K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Anthropic next funding round closed by...?

Anthropic next funding round closed by...?

96%

December 31

$9.6K Vol.

$11.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

22%

50%+

$60.0K Vol.

$697 Liq.

12

Ends in about 2 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Anthropic.

Polymarket currently hosts 10 active markets for Anthropic that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 98% chance to No IPO by June 30, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Anthropic predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.