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Chatgpt predictions & odds

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# of ChatGPT Outage Days in June 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in June 2026?

55%

4+

$10.7K Vol.

$7.8K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 19?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 19?

42%

FOX One: Live News, Sports, TV

$1.3K Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

What will Elon post this week? (June 15 - 21)

What will Elon post this week? (June 15 - 21)

89%

Tesla

$755 Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 19?

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 19?

45%

ChatGPT

$588 Vol.

$959 Liq.

Ends in 4 days

TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

35%

Alysa Liu

$1.5K Vol.

$196K Liq.

3

Ends in 7 months

Which company has the best Coding AI model end of July?

Which company has the best Coding AI model end of July?

84%

Anthropic

$4.1K Vol.

$13.3K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Which company has the best Coding AI model end of June?

Which company has the best Coding AI model end of June?

96%

Anthropic

$74.3K Vol.

$71.9K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Which company has the second-best Coding AI model end of June?

Which company has the second-best Coding AI model end of June?

93%

Anthropic

$10.4K Vol.

$24.3K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Which company has the best Math AI model end of July?

Which company has the best Math AI model end of July?

61%

Google

$7.2K Vol.

$11.4K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

82%

December 31, 2026

$359K Vol.

$23.0K Liq.

44

Which company has the best Math AI model end of June?

Which company has the best Math AI model end of June?

67%

Google

$229K Vol.

$68.9K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

81%

1560

$4.1K Vol.

$4.1K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Which company has second best AI model end of July?

Which company has second best AI model end of July?

73%

Anthropic

$9.8K Vol.

$17.6K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

67%

Anthropic

$22.5K Vol.

$543K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Which company has best AI model end of July?

Which company has best AI model end of July?

83%

Anthropic

$234K Vol.

$104K today

$450K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

91%

Anthropic

$624K Vol.

$140K Liq.

51

Ends in 13 days

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

5%

$2.6K Vol.

$6.1K Liq.

4

Ends in 7 months

Which company has the #2 AI model end of July? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #2 AI model end of July? (Style Control On)

61%

Anthropic

$12.7K Vol.

$18.0K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by June 30?

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by June 30?

8%

1550

$11.2K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Which company has the third best AI model end of July?

Which company has the third best AI model end of July?

68%

Anthropic

$8.0K Vol.

$12.6K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 107 active markets for Chatgpt that lets you track or trade on predictions like “# of ChatGPT Outage Days in June 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which company has second best AI model end of June?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Which company has second best AI model end of June?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 91% chance to Anthropic. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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