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Chatgpt predictions & odds

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Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

92%

↑$900B

$474K Vol.

$172K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by June 30?

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by June 30?

91%

↑$850B

$84.2K Vol.

$113K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

47%

<2

$21.5K Vol.

$14.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Meta - higher valuation on June 30?

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Meta - higher valuation on June 30?

95%

Anthropic + OpenAI

$3.8K Vol.

$11.4K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

93%

$92.3K Vol.

$11.6K Liq.

20

Ends in 7 months

What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?

What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?

42%

$1.0T–$1.25T

$458 Vol.

$14.0K Liq.

Ends in about 1 year

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

19%

Anthropic + OpenAI

$463 Vol.

$5.1K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

18%

OpenAI + Anthropic

$328 Vol.

$10.9K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

32%

50%+

$23.7K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

13%

$76.7K Vol.

$7.5K Liq.

11

Ends in 7 months

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

58%

60%+

$36.7K Vol.

$3.7K Liq.

4

Ends in about 1 month

OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?

OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?

48%

OpenAI

$826 Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in June 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in June 2026?

36%

<2

$0 Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Chatgpt.

Polymarket currently hosts 13 active markets for Chatgpt that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $815K in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 92% chance to ↑$900B. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Chatgpt predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.