Skip to main content

Big Tech predictions & odds

·
Largest Company end of May?

Largest Company end of May?

63%

NVIDIA

$2M Vol.

$784K today

$971K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Largest Company end of June?

Largest Company end of June?

56%

NVIDIA

$10M Vol.

$451K today

$1M Liq.

79

Ends in about 2 months

Which company has the best AI model end of May?

Which company has the best AI model end of May?

73%

Anthropic

$4M Vol.

$151K today

$2M Liq.

Ends in 25 days

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

51%

Other (incl $SPCX)

$6M Vol.

$72.1K today

$155K Liq.

228

Ends in over 1 year

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

61%

Anthropic

$5M Vol.

$51.1K today

$953K Liq.

61

Ends in about 2 months

Largest Company end of December 2026?

Largest Company end of December 2026?

50%

NVIDIA

$3M Vol.

$577K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?

18%

$31.2K Vol.

$21.6K Liq.

1

Ends in 25 days

Gemini 3.5 released by...?

Gemini 3.5 released by...?

43%

July 31

$973K Vol.

$26.4K Liq.

54

Ends in about 2 months

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

54%

$27.5K Vol.

$7.3K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

2nd largest company end of May?

2nd largest company end of May?

60%

Alphabet

$54.4K Vol.

$99.6K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

33%

Earbuds/Headphones

$206K Vol.

$23.3K Liq.

13

Ends in 8 months

Uber # of trips above __ in Q1?

Uber # of trips above __ in Q1?

100%

3.2B

$28.7K Vol.

$11.6K Liq.

3rd largest company end of May?

3rd largest company end of May?

92%

Apple

$49.2K Vol.

$100K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Which company has the third best AI model end of May?

Which company has the third best AI model end of May?

59%

Google

$65.3K Vol.

$46.2K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

94%

1T+

$3M Vol.

$102K Liq.

42

Ends in over 1 year

Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?

Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?

34%

$47.7K Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?

91%

ChatGPT

$4.5K Vol.

$5.3K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

98%

No IPO by June 30, 2026

$1M Vol.

$108K Liq.

5

Ends in about 2 months

IPOs before 2027?

IPOs before 2027?

100%

Cerebras

$6M Vol.

$100K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

89%

SpaceX

$2M Vol.

$169K Liq.

11

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Big Tech.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for Big Tech that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Largest Company end of May?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $43.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Largest Company end of June?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Largest Company end of June?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 56% chance to NVIDIA. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Big Tech predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.