Apple’s April 2026 announcement that Tim Cook will transition to executive chairman on September 1, with hardware engineering lead John Ternus assuming the CEO role, has anchored trader consensus on near-certain departure before 2027. This planned succession aligns with a wider 2026 wave of leadership changes across tech and consumer sectors, where boards are installing executives perceived as better suited to accelerate artificial intelligence integration, agentic systems, and hardware-software convergence amid competitive pressure from rivals like Nvidia and OpenAI. Low-probability names such as Amazon’s Andy Jassy or OpenAI’s Sam Altman reflect limited public signals of imminent exits, though sustained AI execution shortfalls or regulatory scrutiny could surface as swing factors. The market resolves on any departure by year-end 2026, so the September handover remains the dominant near-term catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$709,797 Vol.

Andy Jassy - Amazon
10%

Sam Altman - OpenAI
9%

Dan Clancy - Twitch
8%

Brian Armstrong - Coinbase
7%

Sundar Pichai - Google
6%
$709,797 Vol.

Andy Jassy - Amazon
10%

Sam Altman - OpenAI
9%

Dan Clancy - Twitch
8%

Brian Armstrong - Coinbase
7%

Sundar Pichai - Google
6%
An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 18, 2025, 10:41 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Apple’s April 2026 announcement that Tim Cook will transition to executive chairman on September 1, with hardware engineering lead John Ternus assuming the CEO role, has anchored trader consensus on near-certain departure before 2027. This planned succession aligns with a wider 2026 wave of leadership changes across tech and consumer sectors, where boards are installing executives perceived as better suited to accelerate artificial intelligence integration, agentic systems, and hardware-software convergence amid competitive pressure from rivals like Nvidia and OpenAI. Low-probability names such as Amazon’s Andy Jassy or OpenAI’s Sam Altman reflect limited public signals of imminent exits, though sustained AI execution shortfalls or regulatory scrutiny could surface as swing factors. The market resolves on any departure by year-end 2026, so the September handover remains the dominant near-term catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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