Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

Name: Which CEOs will be out before 2027?
Start: 2025-11-18T15:50:35.372Z
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z

Economy·Big Tech

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

$479,862 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Tim Cook - Apple

$284,095 Vol.

33%

Andy Jassy - Amazon

$13,188 Vol.

21%

Sam Altman - OpenAI

$60,941 Vol.

19%

Dan Clancy - Twitch

$23,822 Vol.

17%

Sundar Pichai - Google

$23,159 Vol.

16%

Brian Armstrong - Coinbase

$74,657 Vol.

13%

$479,862 Vol.

Tim Cook - Apple

$284,095 Vol.

33%

Andy Jassy - Amazon

$13,188 Vol.

21%

Sam Altman - OpenAI

$60,941 Vol.

19%

Dan Clancy - Twitch

$23,822 Vol.

17%

Sundar Pichai - Google

$23,159 Vol.

16%

Brian Armstrong - Coinbase

$74,657 Vol.

13%

This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.

Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns low implied probabilities—under 20% for frontrunners like Apple's Tim Cook and Google's Sundar Pichai—reflecting entrenched leadership stability despite mounting succession speculation. Recent Intel turmoil, with Pat Gelsinger's abrupt exit amid chip market woes and weak earnings, has heightened scrutiny on hardware CEOs but hasn't shifted odds for software giants buoyed by AI dominance. Competitive pressures from Nvidia's Jensen Huang underscore the premium on proven execs in the generative AI race, while no major scandals or board revolts signal near-term change. Key catalysts ahead include Q2 earnings calls for Meta, Amazon, and Microsoft, plus Apple WWDC in June, where product flops could accelerate turnover talk.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated Mar 21, 2026, 1:54 AM UTC

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Which CEOs will be out before 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tim Cook - Apple" at 33%, followed by "Andy Jassy - Amazon" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 33¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which CEOs will be out before 2027?" has generated $479.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 18, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which CEOs will be out before 2027?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which CEOs will be out before 2027?" is "Tim Cook - Apple" at 33%, meaning the market assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Andy Jassy - Amazon" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which CEOs will be out before 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Which CEOs will be out before 2027?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $479.9K traded on “Which CEOs will be out before 2027?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Which CEOs will be out before 2027?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 33¢ for "Tim Cook - Apple" in the "Which CEOs will be out before 2027?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 33% chance that "Tim Cook - Apple" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 33¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 67¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Which CEOs will be out before 2027?" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Dec 31, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Which CEOs will be out before 2027?" market has an active community of 14 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Which CEOs will be out before 2027?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

Rules

Market Context

Market Context

Comments (14)

Top Holders

Positions

Activity

Frequently Asked Questions

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