Apple's April 20 announcement that CEO Tim Cook will step down effective September 1, 2026, with hardware engineering SVP John Ternus succeeding him, has resolved the Tim Cook outcome at 100% YES on Polymarket, reflecting confirmed leadership transition amid Big Tech succession planning. Trader consensus now centers on OpenAI CEO Sam Altman at 25% implied probability for departure before year-end, fueled by the ongoing Elon Musk lawsuit trial—currently in its second week as of May 9—seeking Altman's removal over OpenAI's nonprofit-to-for-profit shift, high AI development burn rates, and past board instability. Lower odds trail for Coinbase's Brian Armstrong (15%, post-staff cuts for AI efficiency), Amazon's Andy Jassy (15%), Twitch's Dan Clancy (9%), and Google's Sundar Pichai (8%). Trial verdict and Q3 earnings could catalyze shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$690,151 Vol.

Sam Altman - OpenAI
20%

Andy Jassy - Amazon
15%

Brian Armstrong - Coinbase
13%

Dan Clancy - Twitch
9%

Sundar Pichai - Google
8%
$690,151 Vol.

Sam Altman - OpenAI
20%

Andy Jassy - Amazon
15%

Brian Armstrong - Coinbase
13%

Dan Clancy - Twitch
9%

Sundar Pichai - Google
8%
An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 18, 2025, 10:41 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Apple's April 20 announcement that CEO Tim Cook will step down effective September 1, 2026, with hardware engineering SVP John Ternus succeeding him, has resolved the Tim Cook outcome at 100% YES on Polymarket, reflecting confirmed leadership transition amid Big Tech succession planning. Trader consensus now centers on OpenAI CEO Sam Altman at 25% implied probability for departure before year-end, fueled by the ongoing Elon Musk lawsuit trial—currently in its second week as of May 9—seeking Altman's removal over OpenAI's nonprofit-to-for-profit shift, high AI development burn rates, and past board instability. Lower odds trail for Coinbase's Brian Armstrong (15%, post-staff cuts for AI efficiency), Amazon's Andy Jassy (15%), Twitch's Dan Clancy (9%), and Google's Sundar Pichai (8%). Trial verdict and Q3 earnings could catalyze shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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