Trader consensus on Polymarket has shifted to Sam Altman of OpenAI as the leading candidate at 22% implied probability to exit as CEO before the December 31, 2026, resolution, following Tim Cook's April 2026 announcement stepping down as Apple CEO for executive chairman—resolving that outcome at 100%. Amid 2026's tech layoffs surpassing 128,000 jobs and high CEO turnover at firms like Adobe and Spotify, pressures from faltering AI bets and economic shifts elevate risks for remaining options: Brian Armstrong (Coinbase, 12%) amid crypto volatility, Andy Jassy (Amazon, 10%) navigating cloud competition, Dan Clancy (Twitch, 9%) battling viewbotting and rivals like TikTok, and Sundar Pichai (Google, 3%). Watch Q2 earnings calls and board maneuvers for sentiment swings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$691,812 Vol.

Sam Altman - OpenAI
20%

Andy Jassy - Amazon
11%

Brian Armstrong - Coinbase
12%

Dan Clancy - Twitch
9%

Sundar Pichai - Google
3%
$691,812 Vol.

Sam Altman - OpenAI
20%

Andy Jassy - Amazon
11%

Brian Armstrong - Coinbase
12%

Dan Clancy - Twitch
9%

Sundar Pichai - Google
3%
An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 18, 2025, 10:41 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket has shifted to Sam Altman of OpenAI as the leading candidate at 22% implied probability to exit as CEO before the December 31, 2026, resolution, following Tim Cook's April 2026 announcement stepping down as Apple CEO for executive chairman—resolving that outcome at 100%. Amid 2026's tech layoffs surpassing 128,000 jobs and high CEO turnover at firms like Adobe and Spotify, pressures from faltering AI bets and economic shifts elevate risks for remaining options: Brian Armstrong (Coinbase, 12%) amid crypto volatility, Andy Jassy (Amazon, 10%) navigating cloud competition, Dan Clancy (Twitch, 9%) battling viewbotting and rivals like TikTok, and Sundar Pichai (Google, 3%). Watch Q2 earnings calls and board maneuvers for sentiment swings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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