Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns modest implied probabilities to tech CEOs departing before year-end 2026, led by OpenAI's Sam Altman at 25% and Apple's Tim Cook at 24%, driven by Altman's history of boardroom drama and Apple's accelerated succession discussions naming hardware SVP John Ternus as a frontrunner. Cook's March 17 interview emphatically denying retirement—"I can't imagine life without Apple"—stabilized sentiment amid the company's AI services push and regulatory scrutiny. Twitch CEO Dan Clancy's odds sit at 7% despite ongoing streamer controversies like TwitchCon fallout, reflecting doubt on near-term ousters, while Amazon's Andy Jassy (15%), Google's Sundar Pichai (14%), and Coinbase's Brian Armstrong (19%) benefit from entrenched restructuring and crypto recovery narratives. Watch Q2 earnings for leadership signals before December resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$584,277 Vol.

Tim Cook - Apple
23%

Sam Altman - OpenAI
22%

Andy Jassy - Amazon
15%

Brian Armstrong - Coinbase
14%

Sundar Pichai - Google
13%

Dan Clancy - Twitch
5%
$584,277 Vol.

Tim Cook - Apple
23%

Sam Altman - OpenAI
22%

Andy Jassy - Amazon
15%

Brian Armstrong - Coinbase
14%

Sundar Pichai - Google
13%

Dan Clancy - Twitch
5%
An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 18, 2025, 10:41 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns modest implied probabilities to tech CEOs departing before year-end 2026, led by OpenAI's Sam Altman at 25% and Apple's Tim Cook at 24%, driven by Altman's history of boardroom drama and Apple's accelerated succession discussions naming hardware SVP John Ternus as a frontrunner. Cook's March 17 interview emphatically denying retirement—"I can't imagine life without Apple"—stabilized sentiment amid the company's AI services push and regulatory scrutiny. Twitch CEO Dan Clancy's odds sit at 7% despite ongoing streamer controversies like TwitchCon fallout, reflecting doubt on near-term ousters, while Amazon's Andy Jassy (15%), Google's Sundar Pichai (14%), and Coinbase's Brian Armstrong (19%) benefit from entrenched restructuring and crypto recovery narratives. Watch Q2 earnings for leadership signals before December resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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