Recent supply chain confirmations and leaks, including MacRumors' May 6 report on the foldable iPhone's modular internals for industry-leading repairability, have driven Polymarket's 84% yes probability for a pre-2027 release. Bloomberg affirmed in April that Apple's book-style foldable—rumored as iPhone Ultra with 7.8-inch inner display and A20 Pro chip—remains on track for September 2026 alongside iPhone 18 Pro models, post-trial production start and summer mass production ramp. Minor delays were offset without shifting timelines, reflecting Apple's multi-year hardware reinvention priority amid Samsung foldable dominance, though crease durability and supply constraints pose residual risks ahead of potential WWDC teases.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$150,990 Vol.
$150,990 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$150,990 Vol.
$150,990 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent supply chain confirmations and leaks, including MacRumors' May 6 report on the foldable iPhone's modular internals for industry-leading repairability, have driven Polymarket's 84% yes probability for a pre-2027 release. Bloomberg affirmed in April that Apple's book-style foldable—rumored as iPhone Ultra with 7.8-inch inner display and A20 Pro chip—remains on track for September 2026 alongside iPhone 18 Pro models, post-trial production start and summer mass production ramp. Minor delays were offset without shifting timelines, reflecting Apple's multi-year hardware reinvention priority amid Samsung foldable dominance, though crease durability and supply constraints pose residual risks ahead of potential WWDC teases.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ET
Volume
$150,990End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent supply chain confirmations and leaks, including MacRumors' May 6 report on the foldable iPhone's modular internals for industry-leading repairability, have driven Polymarket's 84% yes probability for a pre-2027 release. Bloomberg affirmed in April that Apple's book-style foldable—rumored as iPhone Ultra with 7.8-inch inner display and A20 Pro chip—remains on track for September 2026 alongside iPhone 18 Pro models, post-trial production start and summer mass production ramp. Minor delays were offset without shifting timelines, reflecting Apple's multi-year hardware reinvention priority amid Samsung foldable dominance, though crease durability and supply constraints pose residual risks ahead of potential WWDC teases.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$150,990End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent supply chain confirmations and leaks, including MacRumors' May 6 report on the foldable iPhone's modular internals for industry-leading repairability, have driven Polymarket's 84% yes probability for a pre-2027 release. Bloomberg affirmed in April that Apple's book-style foldable—rumored as iPhone Ultra with 7.8-inch inner display and A20 Pro chip—remains on track for September 2026 alongside iPhone 18 Pro models, post-trial production start and summer mass production ramp. Minor delays were offset without shifting timelines, reflecting Apple's multi-year hardware reinvention priority amid Samsung foldable dominance, though crease durability and supply constraints pose residual risks ahead of potential WWDC teases.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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