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Gpt predictions & odds

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GPT-5.6 released by...?

GPT-5.6 released by...?

81%

July 31

$18.7K Vol.

$14.5K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

92%

September 30

$5.9K Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

54%

$27.4K Vol.

$6.1K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Next OpenAI Model: Arena Debut?

Next OpenAI Model: Arena Debut?

84%

1450+

$19.3K Vol.

$14.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

35%

<2

$14.2K Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

61%

Anthropic

$392K Vol.

$49.0K Liq.

51

Ends in about 2 months

Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

89%

$47.5K Vol.

$7.3K Liq.

14

Ends in 8 months

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

60%

None in 2026

$48.6K Vol.

$25.2K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

62%

$22.2K Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

95%

December 31, 2026

$299K Vol.

$13.7K Liq.

45

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

28%

50%+

$21.0K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

41%

60%+

$30.2K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

4

Ends in about 2 months

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

60%

Anthropic

$5M Vol.

$959K Liq.

61

Ends in about 2 months

What will happen before GTA VI?

What will happen before GTA VI?

98%

Drake releases Iceman

$22M Vol.

$771K Liq.

823

Ends in 3 months

Best AI model on May 8? (Style Control Off)

Best AI model on May 8? (Style Control Off)

97%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$22.6K Vol.

$60.6K Liq.

5

Ends in 1 day

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

53%

Anthropic

$1M Vol.

$187K Liq.

19

Ends in about 2 months

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

15%

December 31, 2026

$253K Vol.

$925 Liq.

32

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

66%

$544K Vol.

$51.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Counter-Strike: Omega vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage

Counter-Strike: Omega vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage

Omega

$26.4K Vol.

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

30%

$4.4K Vol.

$5.4K Liq.

1

Ends in 25 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Gpt.

Polymarket currently hosts 118 active markets for Gpt that lets you track or trade on predictions like “GPT-5.6 released by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $30.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What will happen before GTA VI?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What will happen before GTA VI?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 98% chance to Drake releases Iceman. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Gpt predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.