Skip to main content
icon for OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?
Teknologi·OpenAI

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

icon for OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?
Teknologi·OpenAI

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

Dec 31

Dec 31

80% peluang
Polymarket

$24,001 Vol.

80% peluang
Polymarket

$24,001 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s aggressive push toward a potential 2026 IPO underpins the 80.5% market-implied probability of reaching a $1 trillion-plus valuation this year. The company closed a record $122 billion funding round in March at an $852 billion post-money valuation with major backing from Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank, while confidentially filing its S-1 in late May targeting a public debut as early as September at or above $1 trillion. This rapid climb from earlier 2025 rounds, combined with annualized revenue approaching $25 billion, reflects sustained institutional confidence in its large language model leadership and infrastructure scaling. Key catalysts ahead include final IPO pricing, regulatory reviews, and any interim private-market updates that could confirm or delay the threshold.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.

The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$24,001
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 29, 2026, 3:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s aggressive push toward a potential 2026 IPO underpins the 80.5% market-implied probability of reaching a $1 trillion-plus valuation this year. The company closed a record $122 billion funding round in March at an $852 billion post-money valuation with major backing from Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank, while confidentially filing its S-1 in late May targeting a public debut as early as September at or above $1 trillion. This rapid climb from earlier 2025 rounds, combined with annualized revenue approaching $25 billion, reflects sustained institutional confidence in its large language model leadership and infrastructure scaling. Key catalysts ahead include final IPO pricing, regulatory reviews, and any interim private-market updates that could confirm or delay the threshold.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.

The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$24,001
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 29, 2026, 3:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 80% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 80¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 80% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?" telah menghasilkan $24K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jan 29, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?" adalah 80% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 80% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.