Politics Predictions & Real-Time Odds | Polymarket

Fed decision in January?

Politics

Fed decision in January?

$466m 交易量

$13m today

$18m Liq.

1,369

Ends in 4 days

99%

No change

$466m 交易量

$13m today

$18m Liq.

1,369

Ends in 4 days

US strikes Iran by...?

Politics

US strikes Iran by...?

$87m 交易量

$7m today

$677k Liq.

2

Ends in 5 months

69%

June 30

$87m 交易量

$7m today

$677k Liq.

2

Ends in 5 months

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Politics

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

$524m 交易量

$6m today

$23m Liq.

436

Ends in almost 3 years

35%

Gavin Newsom

$524m 交易量

$6m today

$23m Liq.

436

Ends in almost 3 years

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Politics

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$248m 交易量

$5m today

$7m Liq.

674

Ends in 11 months

53%

Rick Rieder

$248m 交易量

$5m today

$7m Liq.

674

Ends in 11 months

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Politics

Presidential Election Winner 2028

$212m 交易量

$3m today

$16m Liq.

595

Ends in almost 3 years

27%

JD Vance

$212m 交易量

$3m today

$16m Liq.

595

Ends in almost 3 years

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Politics

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

$205m 交易量

$3m today

$10m Liq.

233

Ends in almost 3 years

53%

J.D. Vance

$205m 交易量

$3m today

$10m Liq.

233

Ends in almost 3 years

What will Trump say during CNBC interview?

Politics

What will Trump say during CNBC interview?

$5m 交易量

$2m today

$3m Liq.

117

<1%

Million / Billion / Trillion 10+ times

$5m 交易量

$2m today

$3m Liq.

117

Elon Musk # tweets January 20 - January 27, 2026?

Politics

Elon Musk # tweets January 20 - January 27, 2026?

$15m 交易量

$2m today

$1m Liq.

Ends in 3 days

12%

440-459

$15m 交易量

$2m today

$1m Liq.

Ends in 3 days

US next strikes Iran on...?

Politics

US next strikes Iran on...?

$16m 交易量

$2m today

$730k Liq.

Ends in 7 days

69%

No strike by January 31

$16m 交易量

$2m today

$730k Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Next President of Vietnam

Politics

Next President of Vietnam

$3m 交易量

$2m today

$301k Liq.

134

Ends in about 16 hours

91%

Tô Lâm

$3m 交易量

$2m today

$301k Liq.

134

Ends in about 16 hours

Elon Musk # tweets January 23 - January 30, 2026?

Politics

Elon Musk # tweets January 23 - January 30, 2026?

$4m 交易量

$860k today

$1m Liq.

Ends in 6 days

9%

420-439

$4m 交易量

$860k today

$1m Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Politics

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

$21m 交易量

$704k today

$246k Liq.

Ends in 7 days

2%

$21m 交易量

$704k today

$246k Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Elon Musk # tweets January 22 - January 24, 2026?

Politics

Elon Musk # tweets January 22 - January 24, 2026?

$2m 交易量

$652k today

$113k Liq.

Ends in about 9 hours

79%

140-164

$2m 交易量

$652k today

$113k Liq.

Ends in about 9 hours

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Politics

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

$6m 交易量

$556k today

$262k Liq.

196

Ends in 11 months

27%

$6m 交易量

$556k today

$262k Liq.

196

Ends in 11 months

US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

Politics

US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

$5m 交易量

$474k today

$56.3k Liq.

149

Ends in 22 days

77%

December 31

$5m 交易量

$474k today

$56.3k Liq.

149

Ends in 22 days

Portugal Presidential Election

Politics

Portugal Presidential Election

$124m 交易量

$461k today

$5m Liq.

1,564

Ends in 15 days

98%

António José Seguro (IND)

$124m 交易量

$461k today

$5m Liq.

1,564

Ends in 15 days

Fed decision in March?

Politics

Fed decision in March?

$4m 交易量

$432k today

$613k Liq.

418

Ends in about 2 months

80%

No change

$4m 交易量

$432k today

$613k Liq.

418

Ends in about 2 months

Which coalition will form the next Dutch government?

Politics

Which coalition will form the next Dutch government?

$28m 交易量

$413k today

$581k Liq.

315

Ends in 9 months

92%

VVD + CDA + D66

$28m 交易量

$413k today

$581k Liq.

315

Ends in 9 months

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Politics

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

$25m 交易量

$393k today

$675k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

14%

$25m 交易量

$393k today

$675k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Politics

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

$11m 交易量

$391k today

$1m Liq.

134

Ends in 11 months

55%

Delcy Rodríguez

$11m 交易量

$391k today

$1m Liq.

134

Ends in 11 months

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