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下次选举后,谁将成为下一任以色列总理?

Market icon

下次选举后,谁将成为下一任以色列总理?

本杰明·内塔尼亚胡 61%

分组项标题:纳夫塔利·贝内特 29%

加迪·埃岑科特 5.6%

分组项标题:Yair Lapid 1.9%

Polymarket

$1,270,290 交易量

本杰明·内塔尼亚胡 61%

分组项标题:纳夫塔利·贝内特 29%

加迪·埃岑科特 5.6%

分组项标题:Yair Lapid 1.9%

Polymarket

$1,270,290 交易量

本杰明·内塔尼亚胡

$230,841 交易量

61%

分组项标题:纳夫塔利·贝内特

$412,158 交易量

29%

加迪·埃岑科特

$58,084 交易量

6%

分组项标题:Yair Lapid

$40,681 交易量

2%

尤西·科恩

$48,439 交易量

1%

分组项标题:Avigdor Lieberman

$135,168 交易量

1%

本尼·甘茨

$24,886 交易量

1%

艾耶莱特·沙克德

$22,074 交易量

1%

摩西·费格林

$29,994 交易量

1%

亚里夫·列文

$28,275 交易量

<1%

亚伊尔·戈兰

$62,606 交易量

<1%

吉迪恩·萨尔

$129,698 交易量

<1%

分组项标题:伊塔马尔·本-吉维尔

$27,138 交易量

<1%

约阿兹·亨德尔

$23,618 交易量

<1%

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,270,290
结束日期
Dec 31, 2026
市场开放时间
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"下次选举后,谁将成为下一任以色列总理?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "本杰明·内塔尼亚胡" at 61%, followed by "分组项标题:纳夫塔利·贝内特" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 61¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "下次选举后,谁将成为下一任以色列总理?" has generated $1.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 15, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "下次选举后,谁将成为下一任以色列总理?," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "下次选举后,谁将成为下一任以色列总理?" is "本杰明·内塔尼亚胡" at 61%, meaning the market assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "分组项标题:纳夫塔利·贝内特" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "下次选举后,谁将成为下一任以色列总理?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.