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美国 伊朗 预测与赔率

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Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

6%

December 31

$7M 交易量

$65.2K Liq.

Ends 8 个月内

US x Russia military clash by...?

US x Russia military clash by...?

6%

December 31, 2026

$618K 交易量

$44.6K Liq.

16

Ends 8 个月内

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

62%

Pakistan

$4M 交易量

$489K today

$392K Liq.

Ends 大约 2 个月内

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

24%

$278K 交易量

$102K today

$43.1K Liq.

Ends 24 天内

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

42%

$2M 交易量

$119K today

$88.4K Liq.

Ends 大约 2 个月内

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

63%

$998K 交易量

$127K Liq.

Ends 8 个月内

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

14%

$307K 交易量

$105K today

$31.1K Liq.

Ends 24 天内

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

73%

June 30

$14M 交易量

$1M today

$324K Liq.

333

Ends 大约 2 个月内

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

72%

December 31

$78M 交易量

$6M today

$1M Liq.

1,617

Ends 8 个月内

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

71%

June 30

$33M 交易量

$1M today

$194K Liq.

5

Ends 7 天前

Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting on...?

Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting on...?

91%

No Meeting before May 11

$2M 交易量

$122K today

$121K Liq.

33

Ends 3 天内

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

65%

Steve Witkoff

$1M 交易量

$128K Liq.

69

Ends 大约 2 个月内

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

70%

Iran

$6.6K 交易量

$39.0K Liq.

5

Ends 8 天内

Nothing Ever Happens: May

Nothing Ever Happens: May

68%

Nothing

$46.0K 交易量

$19.1K Liq.

Ends 24 天内

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

1%

US Confirms Aliens Exist

$230K 交易量

$23.1K Liq.

3

Ends 6 个月内

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

10%

$559K 交易量

$39.9K Liq.

25

Ends 8 个月内

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

44%

Unfreeze Iranian Assets

$209K 交易量

$100K today

$108K Liq.

Ends 24 天内

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

13%

$75.9K 交易量

$17.3K Liq.

2

Ends 8 个月内

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?

50%

June 30

$53.1K 交易量

$53.2K Liq.

Ends 大约 2 个月内

Who will meet with Iran by May 31?

Who will meet with Iran by May 31?

48%

Jared Kushner

$53.0K 交易量

$111K Liq.

Ends 24 天内

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 美国 伊朗 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 134 个活跃的 美国 伊朗 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $143.8M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?",市场目前认为 December 31 的概率为 72%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 美国 伊朗 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。