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美国 伊朗 预测与赔率

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Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

44%

No Meeting by June 30

$6M 交易量

$505K today

$340K Liq.

Ends 大约 1 个月内

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

9%

$612K 交易量

$24.7K Liq.

Ends 15 天内

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

24%

$2M 交易量

$26.0K Liq.

Ends 大约 1 个月内

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

59%

$1M 交易量

$94.1K Liq.

Ends 8 个月内

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

67%

December 31

$117M 交易量

$2M today

$2M Liq.

2,305

Ends 8 个月内

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

55%

June 30

$37M 交易量

$276K today

$129K Liq.

6

Ends 16 天前

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

51%

Jared Kushner

$1M 交易量

$53.6K Liq.

69

Ends 大约 1 个月内

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

15%

$79.8K 交易量

$4.9K Liq.

2

Ends 8 个月内

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

8%

December 31

$8M 交易量

$52.1K Liq.

Ends 8 个月内

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

9%

$579K 交易量

$29.6K Liq.

25

Ends 8 个月内

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

27%

December 31

$14M 交易量

$455K today

$290K Liq.

149

Ends 8 个月内

Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?

Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?

59%

$6.2K 交易量

$2.8K Liq.

Ends 15 天内

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

31%

$29M 交易量

$369K today

$731K Liq.

3

Ends 8 个月内

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

96%

$758K 交易量

$74.4K Liq.

64

Ends 大约 1 个月内

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?

30%

June 30

$110K 交易量

$29.9K Liq.

Ends 大约 1 个月内

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

10%

Oil Sanction Relief

$2M 交易量

$155K today

$282K Liq.

Ends 15 天内

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

7%

$425K 交易量

$62.7K Liq.

Ends 15 天内

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

5%

Any U.S. House member

$389K 交易量

$76.3K Liq.

4

Ends 大约 1 个月内

Who will meet with Iran by May 31?

Who will meet with Iran by May 31?

22%

Steve Witkoff

$81.5K 交易量

$36.2K Liq.

Ends 15 天内

Which team will replace Iran at FIFA World Cup?

Which team will replace Iran at FIFA World Cup?

86%

No Replacement

$31.1K 交易量

$9.0K Liq.

2

Ends 4 个月内

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 美国 伊朗 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 115 个活跃的 美国 伊朗 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $219.2M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?",市场目前认为 December 31 的概率为 67%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 美国 伊朗 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。