Diplomatic efforts between the United States and Iran remain active but fragile following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding, which established working groups on nuclear issues, sanctions relief, reconstruction, and monitoring while calling for de-escalation in Lebanon and safe navigation through the Strait of Hormuz. Pakistan and Qatar have continued mediation, with technical talks held in Switzerland earlier in the summer and renewed contacts reported in mid-September. Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian recently stated readiness for nuclear discussions provided sanctions are lifted and unilateral pressure ends, while U.S. officials have signaled openness to engagement amid ongoing disagreements over inspections, implementation of interim commitments, and regional proxies. These developments, alongside scheduled diplomatic channels through year-end, shape trader assessments of likely participants in any additional rounds by December 31.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$567,148 交易量
2026-12-31
阿巴斯·阿拉格齐
35%
Steve Witkoff
34%
贾里德·库什纳
28%
J.D. 万斯
23%
巴德尔·本·哈马德·阿尔布赛义迪
19%
穆罕默德·巴盖尔·加利巴夫
18%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
18%
尼克·斯图尔特
18%
卡泽姆·加里巴巴迪
16%
伊沙克·达尔
16%
穆罕默德·本·阿卜杜勒拉赫曼·阿勒萨尼
13%
穆罕默德·本·萨勒曼
12%
拉斐尔·格罗西
11%
马苏德·佩泽什基安
10%
马可·鲁比奥
7%
埃斯梅尔·卡阿尼
6%
彼特·赫格塞思
6%
艾哈迈德·瓦希迪
5%
唐纳德·特朗普
4%
穆吉塔巴·哈梅内伊
2%
$567,148 交易量
阿巴斯·阿拉格齐
$26,790 交易量
35%
Steve Witkoff
$47,660 交易量
34%
贾里德·库什纳
$113,583 交易量
28%
J.D. 万斯
$29,331 交易量
23%
巴德尔·本·哈马德·阿尔布赛义迪
$40,205 交易量
19%
穆罕默德·巴盖尔·加利巴夫
$21,826 交易量
18%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$17,270 交易量
18%
尼克·斯图尔特
$12,960 交易量
18%
卡泽姆·加里巴巴迪
$19,948 交易量
16%
伊沙克·达尔
$23,835 交易量
16%
穆罕默德·本·阿卜杜勒拉赫曼·阿勒萨尼
$52,100 交易量
13%
穆罕默德·本·萨勒曼
$5,526 交易量
12%
拉斐尔·格罗西
$36,303 交易量
11%
马苏德·佩泽什基安
$24,252 交易量
10%
马可·鲁比奥
$13,864 交易量
7%
埃斯梅尔·卡阿尼
$12,370 交易量
6%
彼特·赫格塞思
$20,123 交易量
6%
艾哈迈德·瓦希迪
$14,506 交易量
5%
唐纳德·特朗普
$11,489 交易量
4%
穆吉塔巴·哈梅内伊
$23,209 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Diplomatic efforts between the United States and Iran remain active but fragile following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding, which established working groups on nuclear issues, sanctions relief, reconstruction, and monitoring while calling for de-escalation in Lebanon and safe navigation through the Strait of Hormuz. Pakistan and Qatar have continued mediation, with technical talks held in Switzerland earlier in the summer and renewed contacts reported in mid-September. Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian recently stated readiness for nuclear discussions provided sanctions are lifted and unilateral pressure ends, while U.S. officials have signaled openness to engagement amid ongoing disagreements over inspections, implementation of interim commitments, and regional proxies. These developments, alongside scheduled diplomatic channels through year-end, shape trader assessments of likely participants in any additional rounds by December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
交易量
$567,148结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Diplomatic efforts between the United States and Iran remain active but fragile following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding, which established working groups on nuclear issues, sanctions relief, reconstruction, and monitoring while calling for de-escalation in Lebanon and safe navigation through the Strait of Hormuz. Pakistan and Qatar have continued mediation, with technical talks held in Switzerland earlier in the summer and renewed contacts reported in mid-September. Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian recently stated readiness for nuclear discussions provided sanctions are lifted and unilateral pressure ends, while U.S. officials have signaled openness to engagement amid ongoing disagreements over inspections, implementation of interim commitments, and regional proxies. These developments, alongside scheduled diplomatic channels through year-end, shape trader assessments of likely participants in any additional rounds by December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$567,148结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETDiplomatic efforts between the United States and Iran remain active but fragile following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding, which established working groups on nuclear issues, sanctions relief, reconstruction, and monitoring while calling for de-escalation in Lebanon and safe navigation through the Strait of Hormuz. Pakistan and Qatar have continued mediation, with technical talks held in Switzerland earlier in the summer and renewed contacts reported in mid-September. Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian recently stated readiness for nuclear discussions provided sanctions are lifted and unilateral pressure ends, while U.S. officials have signaled openness to engagement amid ongoing disagreements over inspections, implementation of interim commitments, and regional proxies. These developments, alongside scheduled diplomatic channels through year-end, shape trader assessments of likely participants in any additional rounds by December 31.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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