Geopolitics predictions & odds

·
US strikes Iran by...?

Geopolitics

Politics

US strikes Iran by...?

67%

June 30

$87m 交易量

$7m today

$542k Liq.

2

Ends in 5 months

Next Country US Strikes

Geopolitics

Iran

Next Country US Strikes

100%

Somalia

$4m 交易量

$2m today

$137k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

US next strikes Iran on...?

Geopolitics

Politics

US next strikes Iran on...?

68%

No strike by January 31

$16m 交易量

$2m today

$494k Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Geopolitics

Iran

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

7%

$41m 交易量

$1m today

$933k Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Geopolitics

Politics

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

2%

$21m 交易量

$704k today

$246k Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Geopolitics

Politics

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

27%

$6m 交易量

$556k today

$258k Liq.

195

Ends in 11 months

US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

Geopolitics

Politics

US/Israel strikes Iran by...?

77%

December 31

$5m 交易量

$474k today

$59.4k Liq.

148

Ends in 22 days

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Geopolitics

Politics

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

55%

Delcy Rodríguez

$11m 交易量

$391k today

$1m Liq.

134

Ends in 11 months

Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?

Geopolitics

Politics

Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?

3%

$8m 交易量

$360k today

$262k Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Geopolitics

Politics

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

26%

$13m 交易量

$318k today

$107k Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit and tie at the World Economic Forum?

Geopolitics

Politics

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit and tie at the World Economic Forum?

<1%

$722k 交易量

$247k today

$33.6k Liq.

34

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Geopolitics

Politics

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

31%

$7m 交易量

$234k today

$113k Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Geopolitics

Politics

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

17%

$11m 交易量

$220k today

$318k Liq.

20,361

Ends in 2 months

Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Geopolitics

Politics

Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

<1%

$2m 交易量

$210k today

$13.9k Liq.

Who will Trump shake hands with at Davos?

Geopolitics

Politics

Who will Trump shake hands with at Davos?

3%

Isaac Herzog

$810k 交易量

$189k today

$205k Liq.

83

Costa Rica Presidential Election

Geopolitics

Politics

Costa Rica Presidential Election

91%

Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado

$1m 交易量

$163k today

$330k Liq.

79

Ends in 8 days

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Geopolitics

Politics

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

44%

$7m 交易量

$121k today

$406k Liq.

5,422

Ends in 11 months

Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?

Geopolitics

Iran

Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?

4%

$1m 交易量

$119k today

$32.5k Liq.

44

Ends in 7 days

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Geopolitics

Iran

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

23%

$1m 交易量

$119k today

$129k Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?

Geopolitics

Politics

Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?

50%

January 28

$5m 交易量

$109k today

$32.6k Liq.

Ends in 7 days