Putin’s firm grip on Russia’s personalized autocracy, reinforced by 2020 constitutional amendments that reset term limits to allow service through 2036, underpins trader consensus that he will remain president past December 2026. His March 2024 reelection with nearly 88 percent of the vote, sustained approval ratings above 80 percent into 2025, and unchallenged authority over security services, elites, and media have eliminated viable opposition or succession pressures. Recent activities, including December 2025 press conferences, CSTO summits, and strategic planning meetings, demonstrate continued operational capacity without indications of incapacitation or elite revolt. While the Ukraine conflict and economic strains create longer-term risks, no institutional mechanisms or recent developments have shifted the balance toward an early exit within the narrow window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$4,270,274 交易量
$4,270,274 交易量
是
$4,270,274 交易量
$4,270,274 交易量
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Putin’s firm grip on Russia’s personalized autocracy, reinforced by 2020 constitutional amendments that reset term limits to allow service through 2036, underpins trader consensus that he will remain president past December 2026. His March 2024 reelection with nearly 88 percent of the vote, sustained approval ratings above 80 percent into 2025, and unchallenged authority over security services, elites, and media have eliminated viable opposition or succession pressures. Recent activities, including December 2025 press conferences, CSTO summits, and strategic planning meetings, demonstrate continued operational capacity without indications of incapacitation or elite revolt. While the Ukraine conflict and economic strains create longer-term risks, no institutional mechanisms or recent developments have shifted the balance toward an early exit within the narrow window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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