Vladimir Putin's firm grip on Russia's political institutions and security apparatus sustains the 88.5% trader consensus that he will remain president through December 31, 2026, midway through his current six-year term ending in 2030 following 2020 constitutional amendments resetting term limits. No verified developments in the past 30 days—such as confirmed health crises, elite defections, or Kremlin power struggles—have materialized to threaten his position, despite a leaked European intelligence report from early May highlighting heightened personal security measures amid unconfirmed fears of assassination attempts or coups since March, linked to Ukraine war setbacks and internal leaks. Putin continues public appearances, including the May 9 Victory Day parade with China's Xi Jinping, underscoring regime stability absent major disruptions like a no-confidence vote or snap leadership transition. Traders price low odds of upheaval given historical patterns of authoritarian continuity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$4,270,274 交易量
$4,270,274 交易量
是
$4,270,274 交易量
$4,270,274 交易量
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Vladimir Putin's firm grip on Russia's political institutions and security apparatus sustains the 88.5% trader consensus that he will remain president through December 31, 2026, midway through his current six-year term ending in 2030 following 2020 constitutional amendments resetting term limits. No verified developments in the past 30 days—such as confirmed health crises, elite defections, or Kremlin power struggles—have materialized to threaten his position, despite a leaked European intelligence report from early May highlighting heightened personal security measures amid unconfirmed fears of assassination attempts or coups since March, linked to Ukraine war setbacks and internal leaks. Putin continues public appearances, including the May 9 Victory Day parade with China's Xi Jinping, underscoring regime stability absent major disruptions like a no-confidence vote or snap leadership transition. Traders price low odds of upheaval given historical patterns of authoritarian continuity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题