Trader consensus favors United Russia to secure the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its historical dominance in single-member districts despite recent polls showing its party-list support dipping to 29-41% in March FOM and VCIOM surveys. New People has surged to second place at 10-13% in VCIOM polls and pro-Kremlin VTsIOM data, elevating its profile as a Kremlin-tolerant challenger amid reports of United Russia preparing for potential losses in up to 30 regions' single-member contests. Communists and LDPR hover at 8-10%, insufficient for overtaking the incumbent in the 450-seat chamber split evenly between proportional lists and first-past-the-post districts. Putin's approval at wartime lows adds uncertainty, but structural advantages position United Russia ahead.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于统一俄罗斯党（ER） 71%
新人民党（NL） 21.8%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR） 5.9%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF） 1.3%
$4,393,217 交易量
$4,393,217 交易量
Sep 30, 2026
统一俄罗斯党（ER）
71%
新人民党（NL）
22%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR）
6%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF）
1%
公正俄罗斯——为了真理党（SRZP）
1%
罗迪纳
<1%
公民平台党（GP）
<1%
统一俄罗斯党（ER） 71%
新人民党（NL） 21.8%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR） 5.9%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF） 1.3%
$4,393,217 交易量
$4,393,217 交易量
Sep 30, 2026
统一俄罗斯党（ER）
$1,215,851 交易量
71%
新人民党（NL）
$276,761 交易量
22%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR）
$2,034,127 交易量
6%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF）
$254,614 交易量
1%
公正俄罗斯——为了真理党（SRZP）
$226,540 交易量
1%
罗迪纳
$195,937 交易量
<1%
公民平台党（GP）
$189,387 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Trader consensus favors United Russia to secure the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its historical dominance in single-member districts despite recent polls showing its party-list support dipping to 29-41% in March FOM and VCIOM surveys. New People has surged to second place at 10-13% in VCIOM polls and pro-Kremlin VTsIOM data, elevating its profile as a Kremlin-tolerant challenger amid reports of United Russia preparing for potential losses in up to 30 regions' single-member contests. Communists and LDPR hover at 8-10%, insufficient for overtaking the incumbent in the 450-seat chamber split evenly between proportional lists and first-past-the-post districts. Putin's approval at wartime lows adds uncertainty, but structural advantages position United Russia ahead.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
市场开放时间： Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
交易量
$4,393,217结束日期
Sep 20, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Trader consensus favors United Russia to secure the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its historical dominance in single-member districts despite recent polls showing its party-list support dipping to 29-41% in March FOM and VCIOM surveys. New People has surged to second place at 10-13% in VCIOM polls and pro-Kremlin VTsIOM data, elevating its profile as a Kremlin-tolerant challenger amid reports of United Russia preparing for potential losses in up to 30 regions' single-member contests. Communists and LDPR hover at 8-10%, insufficient for overtaking the incumbent in the 450-seat chamber split evenly between proportional lists and first-past-the-post districts. Putin's approval at wartime lows adds uncertainty, but structural advantages position United Russia ahead.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
交易量
$4,393,217结束日期
Sep 20, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors United Russia to secure the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its historical dominance in single-member districts despite recent polls showing its party-list support dipping to 29-41% in March FOM and VCIOM surveys. New People has surged to second place at 10-13% in VCIOM polls and pro-Kremlin VTsIOM data, elevating its profile as a Kremlin-tolerant challenger amid reports of United Russia preparing for potential losses in up to 30 regions' single-member contests. Communists and LDPR hover at 8-10%, insufficient for overtaking the incumbent in the 450-seat chamber split evenly between proportional lists and first-past-the-post districts. Putin's approval at wartime lows adds uncertainty, but structural advantages position United Russia ahead.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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