Uncertainty over the November 2026 Senate elections keeps trader consensus tight on the next majority leader, with Chuck Schumer at 22.5% and John Thune at 20% reflecting nearly even implied odds of Democratic or Republican control. Republicans currently hold the chamber under Thune, who replaced Mitch McConnell, while Democrats are led by Schumer; competitive battlegrounds in states such as Georgia, Michigan, and North Carolina create balanced paths for either party to reach the 51-seat threshold. Secondary options including Mark Kelly, Lindsey Graham, and Tom Cotton trail due to intra-party positioning, with no single recent development providing clear separation ahead of election results and subsequent leadership votes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于查克·舒默 22%
约翰·图恩 20%
汤姆·科顿 11.5%
布莱恩·沙茨 10%
$67,555 交易量
$67,555 交易量
2027-01-03
查克·舒默
22%
约翰·图恩
20%
汤姆·科顿
12%
布莱恩·沙茨
10%
马克·凯利
15%
林赛·格雷厄姆
7%
科里·布克
3%
约翰·巴拉索
2%
艾米·克洛布查尔
2%
史蒂夫·戴恩斯
2%
帕蒂·默里
1%
查克·舒默 22%
约翰·图恩 20%
汤姆·科顿 11.5%
布莱恩·沙茨 10%
$67,555 交易量
$67,555 交易量
2027-01-03
查克·舒默
$7,871 交易量
22%
约翰·图恩
$3,419 交易量
20%
汤姆·科顿
$5,645 交易量
12%
布莱恩·沙茨
$2,283 交易量
10%
马克·凯利
$4,416 交易量
15%
林赛·格雷厄姆
$11,605 交易量
7%
科里·布克
$2,034 交易量
3%
约翰·巴拉索
$2,407 交易量
2%
艾米·克洛布查尔
$3,329 交易量
2%
史蒂夫·戴恩斯
$22,242 交易量
2%
帕蒂·默里
$2,303 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.
This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.
If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.Uncertainty over the November 2026 Senate elections keeps trader consensus tight on the next majority leader, with Chuck Schumer at 22.5% and John Thune at 20% reflecting nearly even implied odds of Democratic or Republican control. Republicans currently hold the chamber under Thune, who replaced Mitch McConnell, while Democrats are led by Schumer; competitive battlegrounds in states such as Georgia, Michigan, and North Carolina create balanced paths for either party to reach the 51-seat threshold. Secondary options including Mark Kelly, Lindsey Graham, and Tom Cotton trail due to intra-party positioning, with no single recent development providing clear separation ahead of election results and subsequent leadership votes.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.
This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.
If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.
If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
市场开放时间： Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET
交易量
$67,555结束日期
2027-01-03市场开放时间
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.
This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.
If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.Uncertainty over the November 2026 Senate elections keeps trader consensus tight on the next majority leader, with Chuck Schumer at 22.5% and John Thune at 20% reflecting nearly even implied odds of Democratic or Republican control. Republicans currently hold the chamber under Thune, who replaced Mitch McConnell, while Democrats are led by Schumer; competitive battlegrounds in states such as Georgia, Michigan, and North Carolina create balanced paths for either party to reach the 51-seat threshold. Secondary options including Mark Kelly, Lindsey Graham, and Tom Cotton trail due to intra-party positioning, with no single recent development providing clear separation ahead of election results and subsequent leadership votes.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.
This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.
If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.
If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
交易量
$67,555结束日期
2027-01-03市场开放时间
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Uncertainty over the November 2026 Senate elections keeps trader consensus tight on the next majority leader, with Chuck Schumer at 22.5% and John Thune at 20% reflecting nearly even implied odds of Democratic or Republican control. Republicans currently hold the chamber under Thune, who replaced Mitch McConnell, while Democrats are led by Schumer; competitive battlegrounds in states such as Georgia, Michigan, and North Carolina create balanced paths for either party to reach the 51-seat threshold. Secondary options including Mark Kelly, Lindsey Graham, and Tom Cotton trail due to intra-party positioning, with no single recent development providing clear separation ahead of election results and subsequent leadership votes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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