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黎巴嫩议会选举获胜者

Market icon

黎巴嫩议会选举获胜者

黎巴嫩力量党(LF) 57%

自由爱国运动(FPM) 12%

阿迈勒运动(阿迈勒) 8.0%

黎巴嫩阿拉伯社会主义复兴党(复兴党) 6.7%

Polymarket

$151,821 交易量

黎巴嫩力量党(LF) 57%

自由爱国运动(FPM) 12%

阿迈勒运动(阿迈勒) 8.0%

黎巴嫩阿拉伯社会主义复兴党(复兴党) 6.7%

Polymarket

$151,821 交易量

黎巴嫩力量党(LF)

$85,127 交易量

57%

自由爱国运动(FPM)

$0 交易量

12%

阿迈勒运动(阿迈勒)

$22,279 交易量

8%

黎巴嫩阿拉伯社会主义复兴党(复兴党)

$0 交易量

7%

真主党(Hezb)

$38,648 交易量

5%

伊斯兰集团(IG)

$0 交易量

4%

国家自由党(NLP)

$0 交易量

2%

瓦塔尼联盟(Watani)

$0 交易量

2%

塔卡杜姆党

$2,796 交易量

2%

独立运动

$0 交易量

1%

卡塔伊布党(Kataeb)

$0 交易量

1%

拉娜 – 社会民主党(拉娜)

$0 交易量

1%

进步社会党(PSP)

$0 交易量

1%

联盟党(UP)

$1,406 交易量

1%

尊严运动(DM)

$1,564 交易量

5%

全国对话党(NDP)

$0 交易量

<1%

伊斯兰慈善项目协会(ICPA)

$0 交易量

<1%

马拉达运动

$0 交易量

<1%

Khatt Ahmar

$0 交易量

<1%

ReLebanon

$0 交易量

<1%

亚美尼亚革命联盟(ARF)

$0 交易量

<1%

受欢迎的纳赛尔主义者组织(PNO)

$0 交易量

<1%

玛达党(Mada)

$0 交易量

<1%

Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Lebanon in May 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Lebanese Parliament.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Lebanese Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Lebanese Ministry of Interior and Municipalities (interior.gov.lb).

Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
交易量
$151,821
结束日期
May 31, 2026
市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 4:50 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Lebanon in May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Lebanese Parliament. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Lebanese Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Lebanese Ministry of Interior and Municipalities (interior.gov.lb). Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"黎巴嫩议会选举获胜者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 23 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "黎巴嫩力量党(LF)" at 57%, followed by "自由爱国运动(FPM)" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 57¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "黎巴嫩议会选举获胜者" has generated $151.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "黎巴嫩议会选举获胜者," browse the 23 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "黎巴嫩议会选举获胜者" is "黎巴嫩力量党(LF)" at 57%, meaning the market assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "自由爱国运动(FPM)" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "黎巴嫩议会选举获胜者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.