Recent polls from mid-March, including Alpha Research and Market Links, consistently position Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, in first place at 24-31% and GERB-SDS second at 19-23%, elevating PP–DB to trader-favored third at implied 11-13% under proportional representation ahead of the April 19 snap election. PP–DB's edge over DPS (9-11%) stems from stable anti-corruption support, while DPS faces scrutiny over past government ties; Vazrazhdane trails at 5-8% despite nationalist gains. Radev's March 2 alliance registration and the March 20 campaign launch amid voter fatigue from seven prior snaps since 2021 drive this consensus, with no projected majority signaling post-election coalition talks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
PP–DB 49%
DPS 33%
复兴党 9%
GERB-SDS 7%
NEW
NEW
Apr 19, 2026
PP–DB
49%
DPS
33%
复兴党
9%
GERB-SDS
7%
PB
4%
BSP
2%
APS
2%
MECh
1%
ITN
1%
Velichie
1%
PP–DB 49%
DPS 33%
复兴党 9%
GERB-SDS 7%
NEW
NEW
Apr 19, 2026
PP–DB
$185 交易量
49%
DPS
$64 交易量
33%
复兴党
$10 交易量
9%
GERB-SDS
$10 交易量
7%
PB
$13 交易量
4%
BSP
$798 交易量
2%
APS
$879 交易量
2%
MECh
$305 交易量
1%
ITN
$263 交易量
1%
Velichie
$322 交易量
1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls from mid-March, including Alpha Research and Market Links, consistently position Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, in first place at 24-31% and GERB-SDS second at 19-23%, elevating PP–DB to trader-favored third at implied 11-13% under proportional representation ahead of the April 19 snap election. PP–DB's edge over DPS (9-11%) stems from stable anti-corruption support, while DPS faces scrutiny over past government ties; Vazrazhdane trails at 5-8% despite nationalist gains. Radev's March 2 alliance registration and the March 20 campaign launch amid voter fatigue from seven prior snaps since 2021 drive this consensus, with no projected majority signaling post-election coalition talks.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
市场开放时间： Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ET
交易量
$2,848结束日期
Apr 19, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls from mid-March, including Alpha Research and Market Links, consistently position Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, in first place at 24-31% and GERB-SDS second at 19-23%, elevating PP–DB to trader-favored third at implied 11-13% under proportional representation ahead of the April 19 snap election. PP–DB's edge over DPS (9-11%) stems from stable anti-corruption support, while DPS faces scrutiny over past government ties; Vazrazhdane trails at 5-8% despite nationalist gains. Radev's March 2 alliance registration and the March 20 campaign launch amid voter fatigue from seven prior snaps since 2021 drive this consensus, with no projected majority signaling post-election coalition talks.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
交易量
$2,848结束日期
Apr 19, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls from mid-March, including Alpha Research and Market Links, consistently position Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, in first place at 24-31% and GERB-SDS second at 19-23%, elevating PP–DB to trader-favored third at implied 11-13% under proportional representation ahead of the April 19 snap election. PP–DB's edge over DPS (9-11%) stems from stable anti-corruption support, while DPS faces scrutiny over past government ties; Vazrazhdane trails at 5-8% despite nationalist gains. Radev's March 2 alliance registration and the March 20 campaign launch amid voter fatigue from seven prior snaps since 2021 drive this consensus, with no projected majority signaling post-election coalition talks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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