Trader consensus reflects near-certain stability in President Trump's position, with "No" at 99.4%, driven by insurmountable constitutional barriers to removal despite early April Democratic pushes for impeachment via H.Res.939 and 25th Amendment discussions following his Iran threats and failed ceasefire talks. House Democrats filed articles and proposed a commission around April 7-10, but Republican Senate control precludes the two-thirds conviction vote needed, echoing Trump's prior impeachments without removal. No procedural advances, health issues, or resignation signals have emerged in the past week, and with just 11 days until resolution, only extraordinary events like a sudden incapacity declaration or unforeseen scandal could shift odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$9,248,018 交易量
$9,248,018 交易量
2026-04-30
是
$9,248,018 交易量
$9,248,018 交易量
2026-04-30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus reflects near-certain stability in President Trump's position, with "No" at 99.4%, driven by insurmountable constitutional barriers to removal despite early April Democratic pushes for impeachment via H.Res.939 and 25th Amendment discussions following his Iran threats and failed ceasefire talks. House Democrats filed articles and proposed a commission around April 7-10, but Republican Senate control precludes the two-thirds conviction vote needed, echoing Trump's prior impeachments without removal. No procedural advances, health issues, or resignation signals have emerged in the past week, and with just 11 days until resolution, only extraordinary events like a sudden incapacity declaration or unforeseen scandal could shift odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
交易量
$9,248,018结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus reflects near-certain stability in President Trump's position, with "No" at 99.4%, driven by insurmountable constitutional barriers to removal despite early April Democratic pushes for impeachment via H.Res.939 and 25th Amendment discussions following his Iran threats and failed ceasefire talks. House Democrats filed articles and proposed a commission around April 7-10, but Republican Senate control precludes the two-thirds conviction vote needed, echoing Trump's prior impeachments without removal. No procedural advances, health issues, or resignation signals have emerged in the past week, and with just 11 days until resolution, only extraordinary events like a sudden incapacity declaration or unforeseen scandal could shift odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$9,248,018结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects near-certain stability in President Trump's position, with "No" at 99.4%, driven by insurmountable constitutional barriers to removal despite early April Democratic pushes for impeachment via H.Res.939 and 25th Amendment discussions following his Iran threats and failed ceasefire talks. House Democrats filed articles and proposed a commission around April 7-10, but Republican Senate control precludes the two-thirds conviction vote needed, echoing Trump's prior impeachments without removal. No procedural advances, health issues, or resignation signals have emerged in the past week, and with just 11 days until resolution, only extraordinary events like a sudden incapacity declaration or unforeseen scandal could shift odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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