Trump's January 20 inauguration as president, backed by Republican majorities in the House (220-215) and Senate (53-47), has entrenched his position, making impeachment—requiring a House majority vote and two-thirds Senate conviction—or 25th Amendment invocation before April 30 exceedingly unlikely. Recent cabinet confirmation hearings advanced smoothly despite some Democratic opposition, with no verified reports of resignation intentions, health crises, or legal challenges threatening his tenure. This congressional firewall and orderly transition underpin trader consensus at 97.9% "No," though late-breaking scandals, medical emergencies, or extraordinary bipartisan action could still alter the outlook.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
NEW
$19,567 交易量
NEW
$19,567 交易量
Apr 30, 2026
是
NEW
$19,567 交易量
NEW
$19,567 交易量
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's January 20 inauguration as president, backed by Republican majorities in the House (220-215) and Senate (53-47), has entrenched his position, making impeachment—requiring a House majority vote and two-thirds Senate conviction—or 25th Amendment invocation before April 30 exceedingly unlikely. Recent cabinet confirmation hearings advanced smoothly despite some Democratic opposition, with no verified reports of resignation intentions, health crises, or legal challenges threatening his tenure. This congressional firewall and orderly transition underpin trader consensus at 97.9% "No," though late-breaking scandals, medical emergencies, or extraordinary bipartisan action could still alter the outlook.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
交易量
$19,567结束日期
Apr 30, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's January 20 inauguration as president, backed by Republican majorities in the House (220-215) and Senate (53-47), has entrenched his position, making impeachment—requiring a House majority vote and two-thirds Senate conviction—or 25th Amendment invocation before April 30 exceedingly unlikely. Recent cabinet confirmation hearings advanced smoothly despite some Democratic opposition, with no verified reports of resignation intentions, health crises, or legal challenges threatening his tenure. This congressional firewall and orderly transition underpin trader consensus at 97.9% "No," though late-breaking scandals, medical emergencies, or extraordinary bipartisan action could still alter the outlook.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$19,567结束日期
Apr 30, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's January 20 inauguration as president, backed by Republican majorities in the House (220-215) and Senate (53-47), has entrenched his position, making impeachment—requiring a House majority vote and two-thirds Senate conviction—or 25th Amendment invocation before April 30 exceedingly unlikely. Recent cabinet confirmation hearings advanced smoothly despite some Democratic opposition, with no verified reports of resignation intentions, health crises, or legal challenges threatening his tenure. This congressional firewall and orderly transition underpin trader consensus at 97.9% "No," though late-breaking scandals, medical emergencies, or extraordinary bipartisan action could still alter the outlook.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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