Amid heightened US-Iran tensions following recent military actions and a US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, direct diplomatic talks occurred in Islamabad, Pakistan, on April 11, where Vice President JD Vance, senior advisor Jared Kushner, and special envoy Steve Witkoff met Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf to discuss ceasefire extension, uranium enrichment limits, and Hormuz access. These negotiations yielded no comprehensive deal, prompting President Trump to signal potential resumption within days, though Iran's deputy foreign minister stated on April 18 no further meetings until a shared framework is agreed. Pakistani intermediaries continue efforts for additional rounds before April 30, amid ongoing enforcement of the blockade despite Iran's claim of reopening the strait. Trader consensus reflects high probabilities for repeat US participants based on this precedent, with low odds for President Trump or Secretary of State Marco Rubio traveling abroad.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$290,197 交易量
2026-04-30
唐纳德·特朗普
13%
J.D.万斯
71%
Marco Rubio
13%
贾里德·库什纳
78%
史蒂夫·威特科夫
79%
$290,197 交易量
唐纳德·特朗普
$232,316 交易量
13%
J.D.万斯
$23,740 交易量
71%
Marco Rubio
$14,232 交易量
13%
贾里德·库什纳
$10,650 交易量
78%
史蒂夫·威特科夫
$9,733 交易量
79%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Amid heightened US-Iran tensions following recent military actions and a US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, direct diplomatic talks occurred in Islamabad, Pakistan, on April 11, where Vice President JD Vance, senior advisor Jared Kushner, and special envoy Steve Witkoff met Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf to discuss ceasefire extension, uranium enrichment limits, and Hormuz access. These negotiations yielded no comprehensive deal, prompting President Trump to signal potential resumption within days, though Iran's deputy foreign minister stated on April 18 no further meetings until a shared framework is agreed. Pakistani intermediaries continue efforts for additional rounds before April 30, amid ongoing enforcement of the blockade despite Iran's claim of reopening the strait. Trader consensus reflects high probabilities for repeat US participants based on this precedent, with low odds for President Trump or Secretary of State Marco Rubio traveling abroad.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ET
交易量
$290,197结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Amid heightened US-Iran tensions following recent military actions and a US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, direct diplomatic talks occurred in Islamabad, Pakistan, on April 11, where Vice President JD Vance, senior advisor Jared Kushner, and special envoy Steve Witkoff met Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf to discuss ceasefire extension, uranium enrichment limits, and Hormuz access. These negotiations yielded no comprehensive deal, prompting President Trump to signal potential resumption within days, though Iran's deputy foreign minister stated on April 18 no further meetings until a shared framework is agreed. Pakistani intermediaries continue efforts for additional rounds before April 30, amid ongoing enforcement of the blockade despite Iran's claim of reopening the strait. Trader consensus reflects high probabilities for repeat US participants based on this precedent, with low odds for President Trump or Secretary of State Marco Rubio traveling abroad.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$290,197结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid heightened US-Iran tensions following recent military actions and a US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, direct diplomatic talks occurred in Islamabad, Pakistan, on April 11, where Vice President JD Vance, senior advisor Jared Kushner, and special envoy Steve Witkoff met Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf to discuss ceasefire extension, uranium enrichment limits, and Hormuz access. These negotiations yielded no comprehensive deal, prompting President Trump to signal potential resumption within days, though Iran's deputy foreign minister stated on April 18 no further meetings until a shared framework is agreed. Pakistani intermediaries continue efforts for additional rounds before April 30, amid ongoing enforcement of the blockade despite Iran's claim of reopening the strait. Trader consensus reflects high probabilities for repeat US participants based on this precedent, with low odds for President Trump or Secretary of State Marco Rubio traveling abroad.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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