Recent US-Iran diplomacy remains stalled following the failure of high-level talks in Islamabad in April 2026, where Vice President JD Vance and Iranian officials could not bridge gaps on nuclear restrictions, ballistic missiles, and control over the Strait of Hormuz. Iran has since outlined firm preconditions, including an end to the US naval blockade and security assurances, before committing to further direct engagement. President Trump has indicated that any resumption could occur via phone or at a US-chosen venue, while Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi continues consultations with mediators in Pakistan, Oman, and Russia. These developments, alongside Iran's limited concessions in recent proposals, have kept prospects for a near-term in-person diplomatic meeting uncertain amid ongoing tensions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1,187,656 交易量
唐纳德·特朗普
4%
马可·鲁比奥
9%
J.D. 万斯
27%
贾里德·库什纳
43%
史蒂夫·维特科夫
50%
$1,187,656 交易量
唐纳德·特朗普
4%
马可·鲁比奥
9%
J.D. 万斯
27%
贾里德·库什纳
43%
史蒂夫·维特科夫
50%
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间: Apr 14, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent US-Iran diplomacy remains stalled following the failure of high-level talks in Islamabad in April 2026, where Vice President JD Vance and Iranian officials could not bridge gaps on nuclear restrictions, ballistic missiles, and control over the Strait of Hormuz. Iran has since outlined firm preconditions, including an end to the US naval blockade and security assurances, before committing to further direct engagement. President Trump has indicated that any resumption could occur via phone or at a US-chosen venue, while Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi continues consultations with mediators in Pakistan, Oman, and Russia. These developments, alongside Iran's limited concessions in recent proposals, have kept prospects for a near-term in-person diplomatic meeting uncertain amid ongoing tensions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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