Jerome Powell’s term as Federal Reserve Chair expires on May 15, 2026, establishing the primary timeline for any departure from that role. President Trump’s nominee, Kevin Warsh, received Senate confirmation on May 13, positioning him to assume the chairmanship immediately after. Powell has publicly stated he will step aside from the chair position on schedule yet remain on the Board of Governors through at least early 2028, pending completion of an ongoing review of headquarters renovation matters. This distinction between the chair role and board membership directly shapes trader assessments of precise departure timing, as historical precedent shows most outgoing chairs have left the board upon term end while legal and institutional factors could influence Powell’s final decision.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$245,905 交易量
June 30
100%
May 31
100%
$245,905 交易量
June 30
100%
May 31
100%
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Apr 16, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Jerome Powell’s term as Federal Reserve Chair expires on May 15, 2026, establishing the primary timeline for any departure from that role. President Trump’s nominee, Kevin Warsh, received Senate confirmation on May 13, positioning him to assume the chairmanship immediately after. Powell has publicly stated he will step aside from the chair position on schedule yet remain on the Board of Governors through at least early 2028, pending completion of an ongoing review of headquarters renovation matters. This distinction between the chair role and board membership directly shapes trader assessments of precise departure timing, as historical precedent shows most outgoing chairs have left the board upon term end while legal and institutional factors could influence Powell’s final decision.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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