President Trump's Truth Social activity during April 6-12, 2026, occurred amid escalating US-Iran tensions, including failed peace talks in Pakistan and his April 12 announcement of a potential Strait of Hormuz blockade following 21 hours of unsuccessful negotiations. Traders weighed his pattern of direct commentary on foreign policy adversaries, military operations alongside Israel against Iran's axis, and critiques of European energy policies causing blackouts from renewables, as seen in reposted posts emphasizing border security and self-reliance. An April 6 press conference set the week's tone on administration priorities, with no major domestic catalysts; market consensus reflected his historical use of the platform for real-time geopolitical signaling during active conflicts, though specific phrasing like "MIGA" or "paper tiger" remained uncertain until posts materialized.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$4,955,855 交易量
2026-04-12
Ass / Shit
No
Hell
Yes
Predict / Prediction / Predicted
No
Artemis / Orion
Yes
Make Iran Great Again / MIGA
No
Paper Tiger
No
Keir / Starmer
No
Bully of the Middle East
No
Filibuster
No
NATO
Yes
Ballroom
No
Peace Through Strength
Yes
Panican
No
Epic Fury
Yes
Free Tina Peters
No
AI / Artificial Intelligence
No
Crypto / Bitcoin
Yes
Invasion
No
Peter / Magyar
No
Pam / Bondi
No
Trump
Yes
JD / Vance
Yes
Hungary
Yes
$4,955,855 交易量
Ass / Shit
$9,066 交易量
No
Hell
$1,816 交易量
Yes
Predict / Prediction / Predicted
$13,647 交易量
No
Artemis / Orion
$774 交易量
Yes
Make Iran Great Again / MIGA
$4,635,708 交易量
No
Paper Tiger
$8,510 交易量
No
Keir / Starmer
$1,853 交易量
No
Bully of the Middle East
$5,741 交易量
No
Filibuster
$7,040 交易量
No
NATO
$534 交易量
Yes
Ballroom
$220,237 交易量
No
Peace Through Strength
$61 交易量
Yes
Panican
$8,749 交易量
No
Epic Fury
$2,049 交易量
Yes
Free Tina Peters
$7,803 交易量
No
AI / Artificial Intelligence
$2,959 交易量
No
Crypto / Bitcoin
$12,200 交易量
Yes
Invasion
$6,736 交易量
No
Peter / Magyar
$2,697 交易量
No
Pam / Bondi
$1,275 交易量
No
Trump
$231 交易量
Yes
JD / Vance
$5,470 交易量
Yes
Hungary
$700 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between April 6, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.President Trump's Truth Social activity during April 6-12, 2026, occurred amid escalating US-Iran tensions, including failed peace talks in Pakistan and his April 12 announcement of a potential Strait of Hormuz blockade following 21 hours of unsuccessful negotiations. Traders weighed his pattern of direct commentary on foreign policy adversaries, military operations alongside Israel against Iran's axis, and critiques of European energy policies causing blackouts from renewables, as seen in reposted posts emphasizing border security and self-reliance. An April 6 press conference set the week's tone on administration priorities, with no major domestic catalysts; market consensus reflected his historical use of the platform for real-time geopolitical signaling during active conflicts, though specific phrasing like "MIGA" or "paper tiger" remained uncertain until posts materialized.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between April 6, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
市场开放时间： Apr 3, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
交易量
$4,955,855结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Apr 3, 2026, 7:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between April 6, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.President Trump's Truth Social activity during April 6-12, 2026, occurred amid escalating US-Iran tensions, including failed peace talks in Pakistan and his April 12 announcement of a potential Strait of Hormuz blockade following 21 hours of unsuccessful negotiations. Traders weighed his pattern of direct commentary on foreign policy adversaries, military operations alongside Israel against Iran's axis, and critiques of European energy policies causing blackouts from renewables, as seen in reposted posts emphasizing border security and self-reliance. An April 6 press conference set the week's tone on administration priorities, with no major domestic catalysts; market consensus reflected his historical use of the platform for real-time geopolitical signaling during active conflicts, though specific phrasing like "MIGA" or "paper tiger" remained uncertain until posts materialized.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between April 6, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
交易量
$4,955,855结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Apr 3, 2026, 7:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
President Trump's Truth Social activity during April 6-12, 2026, occurred amid escalating US-Iran tensions, including failed peace talks in Pakistan and his April 12 announcement of a potential Strait of Hormuz blockade following 21 hours of unsuccessful negotiations. Traders weighed his pattern of direct commentary on foreign policy adversaries, military operations alongside Israel against Iran's axis, and critiques of European energy policies causing blackouts from renewables, as seen in reposted posts emphasizing border security and self-reliance. An April 6 press conference set the week's tone on administration priorities, with no major domestic catalysts; market consensus reflected his historical use of the platform for real-time geopolitical signaling during active conflicts, though specific phrasing like "MIGA" or "paper tiger" remained uncertain until posts materialized.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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