President Trump ousted Attorney General Pam Bondi on April 2 amid reported dissatisfaction with Department of Justice leadership, immediately elevating Deputy Attorney General Todd Blanche to acting AG and prompting trader consensus to price Blanche at 23% for the permanent role. EPA Administrator Lee Zeldin surged to 59.5% implied probability following multiple reports that he tops Trump's shortlist, buoyed by the president's public praise and Zeldin's prior experience as a New York prosecutor. Lower odds for Ken Paxton (8.3%) and Jeanine Pirro (3.8%) reflect limited recent buzz, while no announcement by June 30 trades at 2.4% amid expectations of a swift nomination ahead of Senate confirmation hearings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于李·泽尔丁 62%
托德·布兰奇 23%
肯·帕克斯顿 8.1%
珍妮妮·皮罗 3.6%
$42,401 交易量
$42,401 交易量

李·泽尔丁
62%

托德·布兰奇
23%

肯·帕克斯顿
8%

珍妮妮·皮罗
4%

6月30日前未宣布
2%

罗恩·德桑蒂斯
2%

B先生
1%

马特·盖茨
1%

A先生
1%

杰夫·克拉克
<1%
李·泽尔丁 62%
托德·布兰奇 23%
肯·帕克斯顿 8.1%
珍妮妮·皮罗 3.6%
$42,401 交易量
$42,401 交易量

李·泽尔丁
62%

托德·布兰奇
23%

肯·帕克斯顿
8%

珍妮妮·皮罗
4%

6月30日前未宣布
2%

罗恩·德桑蒂斯
2%

B先生
1%

马特·盖茨
1%

A先生
1%

杰夫·克拉克
<1%
An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for United States Attorney General will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Attorney General. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Attorney General will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Attorney General by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No announcement by June 30".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Apr 2, 2026, 2:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for United States Attorney General will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Attorney General. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Attorney General will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Attorney General by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No announcement by June 30".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...President Trump ousted Attorney General Pam Bondi on April 2 amid reported dissatisfaction with Department of Justice leadership, immediately elevating Deputy Attorney General Todd Blanche to acting AG and prompting trader consensus to price Blanche at 23% for the permanent role. EPA Administrator Lee Zeldin surged to 59.5% implied probability following multiple reports that he tops Trump's shortlist, buoyed by the president's public praise and Zeldin's prior experience as a New York prosecutor. Lower odds for Ken Paxton (8.3%) and Jeanine Pirro (3.8%) reflect limited recent buzz, while no announcement by June 30 trades at 2.4% amid expectations of a swift nomination ahead of Senate confirmation hearings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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