Pete Hegseth's Senate confirmation hearing for Secretary of Defense is scheduled for January 14, 2025, by the Armed Services Committee, marking key procedural advancement following his November nomination by President-elect Trump. Amid reports of past misconduct allegations and colleague concerns over drinking, Hegseth and Trump allies have pushed back forcefully, with several Republican senators signaling support despite Democratic opposition. Traders' 92.5% implied probability on "No"—reflecting consensus he remains in the role past April 30—stems from GOP Senate majority control, historical patterns of party-line confirmations for controversial picks, and no recent derailments like withdrawal or holds. Late-breaking scandals or committee votes could shift odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$26,243 交易量
$26,243 交易量
Apr 30, 2026
$26,243 交易量
$26,243 交易量
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pete Hegseth's Senate confirmation hearing for Secretary of Defense is scheduled for January 14, 2025, by the Armed Services Committee, marking key procedural advancement following his November nomination by President-elect Trump. Amid reports of past misconduct allegations and colleague concerns over drinking, Hegseth and Trump allies have pushed back forcefully, with several Republican senators signaling support despite Democratic opposition. Traders' 92.5% implied probability on "No"—reflecting consensus he remains in the role past April 30—stems from GOP Senate majority control, historical patterns of party-line confirmations for controversial picks, and no recent derailments like withdrawal or holds. Late-breaking scandals or committee votes could shift odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 19, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
交易量
$26,243结束日期
Apr 30, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 2:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pete Hegseth's Senate confirmation hearing for Secretary of Defense is scheduled for January 14, 2025, by the Armed Services Committee, marking key procedural advancement following his November nomination by President-elect Trump. Amid reports of past misconduct allegations and colleague concerns over drinking, Hegseth and Trump allies have pushed back forcefully, with several Republican senators signaling support despite Democratic opposition. Traders' 92.5% implied probability on "No"—reflecting consensus he remains in the role past April 30—stems from GOP Senate majority control, historical patterns of party-line confirmations for controversial picks, and no recent derailments like withdrawal or holds. Late-breaking scandals or committee votes could shift odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$26,243结束日期
Apr 30, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 2:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Pete Hegseth's Senate confirmation hearing for Secretary of Defense is scheduled for January 14, 2025, by the Armed Services Committee, marking key procedural advancement following his November nomination by President-elect Trump. Amid reports of past misconduct allegations and colleague concerns over drinking, Hegseth and Trump allies have pushed back forcefully, with several Republican senators signaling support despite Democratic opposition. Traders' 92.5% implied probability on "No"—reflecting consensus he remains in the role past April 30—stems from GOP Senate majority control, historical patterns of party-line confirmations for controversial picks, and no recent derailments like withdrawal or holds. Late-breaking scandals or committee votes could shift odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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