Congress passed full-year appropriations bills on March 23, averting a government shutdown and securing Department of Homeland Security (DHS) funding through September 30 amid disputes over border security measures. With no active shutdown or imminent funding lapse like a continuing resolution deadline, trader consensus clusters tightly around mid-April date ranges at roughly equal implied probabilities, driven by uncertainty over potential partisan holdouts on DHS priorities such as immigration enforcement and ICE operations. Upcoming House or Senate votes on supplemental border aid, or escalation in debt ceiling talks, could separate frontrunners; conversely, bipartisan executive action or quick appropriations adjustments might accelerate resolution toward earlier buckets.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于4月9日至12日 30%
4月13日至16日 30%
4月17日至20日 30%
4月1日之前 29%
$11,470 交易量
$11,470 交易量
4月1日之前
29%
4月1日至4日
24%
4月5日至8日
28%
4月9日至12日
30%
4月13日至16日
30%
4月17日至20日
30%
4月21日至24日
28%
4月25日至28日
15%
4月29日至30日
16%
4月30日之后
24%
4月9日至12日 30%
4月13日至16日 30%
4月17日至20日 30%
4月1日之前 29%
$11,470 交易量
$11,470 交易量
4月1日之前
29%
4月1日至4日
24%
4月5日至8日
28%
4月9日至12日
30%
4月13日至16日
30%
4月17日至20日
30%
4月21日至24日
28%
4月25日至28日
15%
4月29日至30日
16%
4月30日之后
24%
The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间: Mar 25, 2026, 9:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Congress passed full-year appropriations bills on March 23, averting a government shutdown and securing Department of Homeland Security (DHS) funding through September 30 amid disputes over border security measures. With no active shutdown or imminent funding lapse like a continuing resolution deadline, trader consensus clusters tightly around mid-April date ranges at roughly equal implied probabilities, driven by uncertainty over potential partisan holdouts on DHS priorities such as immigration enforcement and ICE operations. Upcoming House or Senate votes on supplemental border aid, or escalation in debt ceiling talks, could separate frontrunners; conversely, bipartisan executive action or quick appropriations adjustments might accelerate resolution toward earlier buckets.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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