When will the DHS shutdown end?

When will the DHS shutdown end?

68%

Before April 1

$47.7K 交易量

$35.3K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?

Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?

42%

Patty Murray

$46.7K 交易量

$43.3K Liq.

1

Ends in 3 days

Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

1%

$26.0K 交易量

$19.0K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Number of US Flights Delayed March 26?

Number of US Flights Delayed March 26?

99%

>6,000

$12.3K 交易量

$8.4K Liq.

Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?

Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?

67%

>6,000

$1.7K 交易量

$3.3K Liq.

Over 450 US flights cancelled on March 27?

Over 450 US flights cancelled on March 27?

50%

$425 交易量

$68 Liq.

Kristi Noem and Corey Lewandowski confirm relationship by March 31?

Kristi Noem and Corey Lewandowski confirm relationship by March 31?

1%

$1.6K 交易量

$2.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

5%

$0 交易量

$10.3K Liq.

9

Ends in 9 months

When will the DHS shutdown end?

When will the DHS shutdown end?

47%

After March 31

$2M 交易量

$147K today

$28.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

How long will the DHS shutdown last?

How long will the DHS shutdown last?

54%

44+ days

$1M 交易量

$57.0K today

$26.1K Liq.

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

76%

Not revealed in 2026

$0 交易量

$15.1K Liq.

5

Ends in 9 months

Will anyone charged over daycare fraud in MN be deported by March 31?

Will anyone charged over daycare fraud in MN be deported by March 31?

1%

$29.4K 交易量

$7.2K Liq.

3

Ends in 3 days

Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

2%

$0 交易量

$27.3K Liq.

8

Ends in 3 days

Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?

Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?

10%

$20.2K 交易量

$5.8K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

<1%

$311K 交易量

$22.7K Liq.

27

Ends in 3 days

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

89%

March 31

$22.4K 交易量

$16.5K Liq.

2

Ends in about 1 month

Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?

Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?

1%

$724K 交易量

$31.9K Liq.

146

Ends in 3 days

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

47%

December 31, 2026

$7.1K 交易量

$3.5K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

Internet Access restored in Iran by...?

Internet Access restored in Iran by...?

17%

April 30

$87.5K 交易量

$15.9K Liq.

26

Ends in about 1 month

AWS service disrupted by April 30?

AWS service disrupted by April 30?

32%

$68 交易量

$952 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 国土安全部 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 113 个活跃的 国土安全部 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"When will the DHS shutdown end?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $3.9M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"When will the DHS shutdown end?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"When will the DHS shutdown end?",市场目前认为 After March 31 的概率为 47%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 国土安全部 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。