South Dakota's legislature maintains a commanding Republican supermajority—Senate 31R-4D and House 63R-7D following the 2024 elections—providing a formidable structural barrier to impeaching GOP Governor Kristi Noem, whose term runs through 2027. Absent a bipartisan consensus or unprecedented scandal, impeachment requires a House majority to bring articles followed by a two-thirds Senate vote, a threshold unmet by recent controversies like her 2024 memoir disclosures, which prompted no formal proceedings or ethics probes from the Government Accountability Board. Trader consensus implying 95% "No" probability underscores this partisan alignment and lack of momentum, though late-breaking federal investigations, criminal charges, or legislative revolt during the January 2026 session could theoretically shift dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Kristi Noem在2026年被弹劾？
Kristi Noem在2026年被弹劾？
是
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
是
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
交易量
$0结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...South Dakota's legislature maintains a commanding Republican supermajority—Senate 31R-4D and House 63R-7D following the 2024 elections—providing a formidable structural barrier to impeaching GOP Governor Kristi Noem, whose term runs through 2027. Absent a bipartisan consensus or unprecedented scandal, impeachment requires a House majority to bring articles followed by a two-thirds Senate vote, a threshold unmet by recent controversies like her 2024 memoir disclosures, which prompted no formal proceedings or ethics probes from the Government Accountability Board. Trader consensus implying 95% "No" probability underscores this partisan alignment and lack of momentum, though late-breaking federal investigations, criminal charges, or legislative revolt during the January 2026 session could theoretically shift dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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