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特朗普 预测与赔率

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What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

92%

Oil Sanction Relief

$3M 交易量

$796K today

$239K Liq.

Ends 14 天内

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

4%

June 30

$4M 交易量

$198K today

$265K Liq.

84

Ends 15 天内

Trump out as President by June 30?

Trump out as President by June 30?

<1%

$8M 交易量

$192K today

$570K Liq.

Ends 14 天内

Who will Trump speak to in June?

Who will Trump speak to in June?

99%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$520K 交易量

$74.5K today

$206K Liq.

Ends 14 天内

Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?

Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?

50%

Jimmy Kimmel

$876K 交易量

$87.9K Liq.

Ends 14 天内

What will Trump say during UFC Freedom 250?

What will Trump say during UFC Freedom 250?

6%

Greatest

$46.4K 交易量

$13.7K Liq.

8

Ends 1 天前

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

90%

Turkey

$505K 交易量

$58.5K Liq.

Ends 7 个月内

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

6%

$34M 交易量

$213K Liq.

Ends 7 个月内

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

97%

No meeting by June 30

$8M 交易量

$368K Liq.

Ends 14 天内

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts June 9 - June 16, 2026?

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts June 9 - June 16, 2026?

73%

120-139

$55.2K 交易量

$9.8K Liq.

Ends 大约 12 小时内

What will Trump say this week? (June 8)

What will Trump say this week? (June 8)

29%

CIA

$36.6K 交易量

$1.8K Liq.

Ends 1 天前

Will Trump visit Greenland by...?

Will Trump visit Greenland by...?

10%

December 31

$253K 交易量

$5.5K Liq.

2

Ends 7 个月内

Who will Trump meet with in June?

Who will Trump meet with in June?

99%

Keir Starmer

$117K 交易量

$74.8K Liq.

Ends 14 天内

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

62%

No meeting by December 31

$65.6K 交易量

$178K Liq.

Ends 7 个月内

Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

10%

$9M 交易量

$437K Liq.

Ends 7 个月内

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

98%

June 16

$604K 交易量

$57.8K Liq.

Ends 14 天内

Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by June 30?

Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by June 30?

5%

$9.9K 交易量

$17.1K Liq.

Ends 14 天内

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

52%

June 30

$29.1K 交易量

$11.4K Liq.

26

Ends 14 天内

President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?

President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?

85%

$9.5K 交易量

$12.1K Liq.

2

Ends 大约 1 个月内

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts June 12 - June 19, 2026?

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts June 12 - June 19, 2026?

30%

120-139

$9.4K 交易量

$5.1K Liq.

Ends 3 天内

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 特朗普 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 313 个活跃的 特朗普 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $68.7M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"Trump out as President before 2027?"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"Where will Trump and Putin meet next?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?",市场目前认为 No 的概率为 94%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 特朗普 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。