Trump's job approval has trended downward through 2025 and into August 2026, with recent aggregates showing figures near 34-38 percent amid sustained public focus on the ongoing U.S. military engagement with Iran and persistent inflation and cost-of-living pressures. Multiple high-quality polls indicate that majorities view the Iran conflict as not worth the costs in casualties and spending, while economic discontent remains the top voter priority. The approach of the November 2026 midterm elections adds a near-term catalyst, as historical patterns show presidential approval often influences congressional outcomes and can shift with new developments in foreign policy or economic indicators. Structural factors such as divided public views on immigration handling and low confidence in crisis management continue to anchor sentiment, leaving room for movement based on events within the remainder of the year.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$107,011 交易量
35%
33%
30%
5%
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5%
20%
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$107,011 交易量
35%
33%
30%
5%
25%
5%
20%
5%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
市场开放时间: Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's job approval has trended downward through 2025 and into August 2026, with recent aggregates showing figures near 34-38 percent amid sustained public focus on the ongoing U.S. military engagement with Iran and persistent inflation and cost-of-living pressures. Multiple high-quality polls indicate that majorities view the Iran conflict as not worth the costs in casualties and spending, while economic discontent remains the top voter priority. The approach of the November 2026 midterm elections adds a near-term catalyst, as historical patterns show presidential approval often influences congressional outcomes and can shift with new developments in foreign policy or economic indicators. Structural factors such as divided public views on immigration handling and low confidence in crisis management continue to anchor sentiment, leaving room for movement based on events within the remainder of the year.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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