President-elect Donald Trump's approval rating stands at roughly 46-50% in recent polls from Rasmussen and others, buoyed by his election victory and transition momentum as of late 2024. Traders price in historical patterns where incumbent presidents' ratings often dip into the low 40s or below entering midterm years like 2026, driven by voter backlash, policy implementation hurdles, and economic volatility. Key recent developments include controversial cabinet nominations such as Pete Hegseth for Defense Secretary and Scott Turner for HUD, which have fueled partisan debate without yet eroding poll numbers significantly. Upcoming catalysts encompass January inauguration, early executive actions on immigration and spending cuts via DOGE initiatives, debt ceiling talks, and global tensions that could sway public sentiment ahead of November 2026 midterms.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$39,377 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
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$39,377 交易量
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$16,668 交易量
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$3,209 交易量
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.President-elect Donald Trump's approval rating stands at roughly 46-50% in recent polls from Rasmussen and others, buoyed by his election victory and transition momentum as of late 2024. Traders price in historical patterns where incumbent presidents' ratings often dip into the low 40s or below entering midterm years like 2026, driven by voter backlash, policy implementation hurdles, and economic volatility. Key recent developments include controversial cabinet nominations such as Pete Hegseth for Defense Secretary and Scott Turner for HUD, which have fueled partisan debate without yet eroding poll numbers significantly. Upcoming catalysts encompass January inauguration, early executive actions on immigration and spending cuts via DOGE initiatives, debt ceiling talks, and global tensions that could sway public sentiment ahead of November 2026 midterms.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
交易量
$39,377结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.President-elect Donald Trump's approval rating stands at roughly 46-50% in recent polls from Rasmussen and others, buoyed by his election victory and transition momentum as of late 2024. Traders price in historical patterns where incumbent presidents' ratings often dip into the low 40s or below entering midterm years like 2026, driven by voter backlash, policy implementation hurdles, and economic volatility. Key recent developments include controversial cabinet nominations such as Pete Hegseth for Defense Secretary and Scott Turner for HUD, which have fueled partisan debate without yet eroding poll numbers significantly. Upcoming catalysts encompass January inauguration, early executive actions on immigration and spending cuts via DOGE initiatives, debt ceiling talks, and global tensions that could sway public sentiment ahead of November 2026 midterms.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
交易量
$39,377结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President-elect Donald Trump's approval rating stands at roughly 46-50% in recent polls from Rasmussen and others, buoyed by his election victory and transition momentum as of late 2024. Traders price in historical patterns where incumbent presidents' ratings often dip into the low 40s or below entering midterm years like 2026, driven by voter backlash, policy implementation hurdles, and economic volatility. Key recent developments include controversial cabinet nominations such as Pete Hegseth for Defense Secretary and Scott Turner for HUD, which have fueled partisan debate without yet eroding poll numbers significantly. Upcoming catalysts encompass January inauguration, early executive actions on immigration and spending cuts via DOGE initiatives, debt ceiling talks, and global tensions that could sway public sentiment ahead of November 2026 midterms.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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