Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between under 6,000 delayed US flights on March 29 at 43.5% and over 9,000 at 40%, reflecting uncertainty from an ongoing partial government shutdown that has led to over 300 TSA agent resignations, swelling security lines and contributing to recent daily delays around 3,000 on March 27 amid spring break travel surges. After mid-March storms spiked delays above 12,000 with thousands of cancellations, calmer conditions have prevailed, but FAA's March 27 report flags potential high winds disrupting New York (EWR, JFK, LGA) and Philadelphia (PHL) airports. Final weather forecasts, FAA ground delay programs, or intensified TSA bottlenecks could tip volumes higher, while clear skies and managed volumes favor the lower bins. Average daily delays hover near 5,600 per BTS and FlightAware data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于少于6,000 44%
>9,000 40%
6,000-6,500 33%
8,000-8,500 33%
NEW
NEW
Mar 27, 2026
少于6,000
44%
6,000-6,500
33%
6,500-7,000
30%
7,000-7,500
28%
7,500-8,000
28%
8,000-8,500
33%
8,500-9,000
28%
>9,000
40%
少于6,000 44%
>9,000 40%
6,000-6,500 33%
8,000-8,500 33%
NEW
NEW
Mar 27, 2026
少于6,000
$0 交易量
44%
6,000-6,500
$0 交易量
33%
6,500-7,000
$0 交易量
30%
7,000-7,500
$0 交易量
28%
7,500-8,000
$0 交易量
28%
8,000-8,500
$10 交易量
33%
8,500-9,000
$10 交易量
28%
>9,000
$0 交易量
40%
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between under 6,000 delayed US flights on March 29 at 43.5% and over 9,000 at 40%, reflecting uncertainty from an ongoing partial government shutdown that has led to over 300 TSA agent resignations, swelling security lines and contributing to recent daily delays around 3,000 on March 27 amid spring break travel surges. After mid-March storms spiked delays above 12,000 with thousands of cancellations, calmer conditions have prevailed, but FAA's March 27 report flags potential high winds disrupting New York (EWR, JFK, LGA) and Philadelphia (PHL) airports. Final weather forecasts, FAA ground delay programs, or intensified TSA bottlenecks could tip volumes higher, while clear skies and managed volumes favor the lower bins. Average daily delays hover near 5,600 per BTS and FlightAware data.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
市场开放时间： Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
交易量
$20结束日期
Mar 29, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between under 6,000 delayed US flights on March 29 at 43.5% and over 9,000 at 40%, reflecting uncertainty from an ongoing partial government shutdown that has led to over 300 TSA agent resignations, swelling security lines and contributing to recent daily delays around 3,000 on March 27 amid spring break travel surges. After mid-March storms spiked delays above 12,000 with thousands of cancellations, calmer conditions have prevailed, but FAA's March 27 report flags potential high winds disrupting New York (EWR, JFK, LGA) and Philadelphia (PHL) airports. Final weather forecasts, FAA ground delay programs, or intensified TSA bottlenecks could tip volumes higher, while clear skies and managed volumes favor the lower bins. Average daily delays hover near 5,600 per BTS and FlightAware data.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
交易量
$20结束日期
Mar 29, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between under 6,000 delayed US flights on March 29 at 43.5% and over 9,000 at 40%, reflecting uncertainty from an ongoing partial government shutdown that has led to over 300 TSA agent resignations, swelling security lines and contributing to recent daily delays around 3,000 on March 27 amid spring break travel surges. After mid-March storms spiked delays above 12,000 with thousands of cancellations, calmer conditions have prevailed, but FAA's March 27 report flags potential high winds disrupting New York (EWR, JFK, LGA) and Philadelphia (PHL) airports. Final weather forecasts, FAA ground delay programs, or intensified TSA bottlenecks could tip volumes higher, while clear skies and managed volumes favor the lower bins. Average daily delays hover near 5,600 per BTS and FlightAware data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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