The DHS funding lapse, now exceeding 40 days and the longest partial government shutdown in U.S. history, stems from stalled bipartisan negotiations over appropriations, with House Republicans rejecting multiple Senate-passed measures tied to ICE detention expansions and border security provisions. President Trump's recent executive order directing immediate pay for TSA officers has eased airport security bottlenecks, reducing public pressure and allowing Congress to recess until the week of April 13 without imminent resolution. Traders weigh this diminished urgency against potential floor votes on a continuing resolution or omnibus bill upon return, alongside leverage from recent Iran strikes amplifying homeland security debates, keeping prolonged shutdown scenarios as the market consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$1,196,056 交易量
$1,196,056 交易量
48天以上
100%
52天以上
98%
60天以上
89%
70天以上
51%
80天以上
45%
90天以上
29%
$1,196,056 交易量
$1,196,056 交易量
48天以上
100%
52天以上
98%
60天以上
89%
70天以上
51%
80天以上
45%
90天以上
29%
The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间: Mar 20, 2026, 4:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The DHS funding lapse, now exceeding 40 days and the longest partial government shutdown in U.S. history, stems from stalled bipartisan negotiations over appropriations, with House Republicans rejecting multiple Senate-passed measures tied to ICE detention expansions and border security provisions. President Trump's recent executive order directing immediate pay for TSA officers has eased airport security bottlenecks, reducing public pressure and allowing Congress to recess until the week of April 13 without imminent resolution. Traders weigh this diminished urgency against potential floor votes on a continuing resolution or omnibus bill upon return, alongside leverage from recent Iran strikes amplifying homeland security debates, keeping prolonged shutdown scenarios as the market consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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