Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by...?

67%

December 31

$10M 交易量

$199K Liq.

351

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

99%

Mr. Speaker 10+ times

$14.5K 交易量

$3.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Starmer approval Up or Down in April?

Starmer approval Up or Down in April?

58%

Up

$24 交易量

$429 Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Who will Trump talk to in March?

Who will Trump talk to in March?

77%

Mark Rutte

$285K 交易量

$62.8K today

$39.6K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

57%

Orbán - Hungary PM

$3M 交易量

$385K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Who will Trump meet with in March?

Who will Trump meet with in March?

43%

Andy Jassy

$151K 交易量

$97.3K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Who will Trump talk to in April?

Who will Trump talk to in April?

67%

Mohammed bin Salman

$9.1K 交易量

$127K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

94%

Xi Jinping

$267K 交易量

$134K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Who will Trump meet with in April?

Who will Trump meet with in April?

25%

Elon Musk

$12.6K 交易量

$100K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Who will visit Venezuela by March 31?

Who will visit Venezuela by March 31?

89%

Jamie Dimon

$18.0K 交易量

$8.2K Liq.

16

What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)

What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)

65%

Peace Through Strength

$1 交易量

$2.2K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

75%

Not revealed in 2026

$0 交易量

$20.8K Liq.

5

Ends in 9 months

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

53%

US x Iran Ceasefire

$71.2K 交易量

$42.5K Liq.

3

Ends in 7 months

UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?

UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?

72%

June 30

$107K 交易量

$9.0K Liq.

54

Ends in 3 months

Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers Hyderabad

Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers Hyderabad

54%

Sunrisers Hyderabad

$9 交易量

$879 Liq.

Ends in 12 days

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

35%

No Next PM in 2026

$3M 交易量

$190K today

$677K Liq.

42

Ends in 9 months

Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier: Scotland Women vs Zimbabwe Women - Team Top Batter

Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier: Scotland Women vs Zimbabwe Women - Team Top Batter

-

$251 交易量

$0 Liq.

UK election called by...?

UK election called by...?

7%

June 30, 2026

$739K 交易量

$3.7K Liq.

11

Scotland Parliamentary Election Winner

Scotland Parliamentary Election Winner

97%

Scottish National Party

$1M 交易量

$206K today

$102K Liq.

9

Ends in about 1 month

Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?

Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?

10%

$10.6K 交易量

$9.6K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 Keir 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 118 个活跃的 Keir 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"Starmer out by...?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $19.2M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"Starmer approval Up or Down in April?"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"Starmer out by...?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"Starmer out by...?",市场目前认为 December 31 的概率为 67%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 Keir 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。