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选举·全球选举

下届法国总统选举

Market icon
选举·全球选举

下届法国总统选举

爱德华·菲利普 24%

分组项标题：乔丹·巴德拉拉 23%

让-吕克·梅朗雄 7%

分组项标题：玛丽娜·勒庞 6%

Polymarket

$44,737,190 交易量

爱德华·菲利普 24%

分组项标题：乔丹·巴德拉拉 23%

让-吕克·梅朗雄 7%

分组项标题：玛丽娜·勒庞 6%

Polymarket

$44,737,190 交易量

爱德华·菲利普会在2027年的法国总统大选中获胜吗？ icon

爱德华·菲利普

$533,510 交易量

24%

问题：乔丹·巴德拉拉会赢得2027年法国总统大选吗？ icon

分组项标题：乔丹·巴德拉拉

$760,590 交易量

23%

问题：让-吕克·梅朗雄会赢得2027年法国总统大选吗？ icon

让-吕克·梅朗雄

$351,077 交易量

7%

问题：玛丽娜·勒庞会赢得2027年法国总统大选吗？ icon

分组项标题：玛丽娜·勒庞

$400,146 交易量

6%

多米尼克·德维尔潘会赢得2027年法国总统大选吗？ icon

多米尼克·德维尔潘

$995,843 交易量

5%

大卫·利斯纳德会赢得2027年法国总统大选吗？ icon

大卫·利斯纳德

$913,969 交易量

4%

问题：Bruno Retailleau 是否会在2027年法国总统选举中获胜？ icon

Bruno Retailleau

$1,133,900 交易量

3%

加布里埃尔·阿塔尔会在2027年法国总统选举中获胜吗？ icon

加布里埃尔·阿塔尔

$1,028,553 交易量

3%

弗朗索瓦·奥朗德会在2027年法国总统选举中获胜吗？ icon

弗朗索瓦·奥朗德

$753,920 交易量

3%

Raphaël Glucksmann 会在2027年法国总统选举中获胜吗？ icon

Raphaël Glucksmann

$616,856 交易量

2%

莎拉·克纳福会赢得2027年法国总统选举吗？ icon

莎拉·克纳福

$1,099,799 交易量

2%

问题：让-卡斯泰会赢得2027年法国总统大选吗？ icon

分组条目标题：让-卡斯泰

$612,637 交易量

2%

塞巴斯蒂安·勒科尔努会赢得2027年法国总统大选吗？ icon

塞巴斯蒂安·勒科尔努

$769,822 交易量

1%

问题：Bernard Cazeneuve 会在2027年法国总统大选中获胜吗？ icon

Bernard Cazeneuve

$1,073,640 交易量

1%

热拉尔·达马南会赢得2027年法国总统大选吗？ icon

热拉尔·达马南

$531,519 交易量

1%

Fabien Roussel 会在2027年法国总统选举中获胜吗？ icon

Fabien Roussel

$1,710,603 交易量

1%

埃里克·泽穆尔会在2027年法国总统大选中获胜吗？ icon

埃里克·泽穆尔

$544,391 交易量

1%

问题：弗朗索瓦·鲁芬会在2027年法国总统大选中获胜吗？ icon

分组项标题：弗朗索瓦·鲁芬

$543,148 交易量

1%

瓦莱丽·佩雷斯会赢得2027年的法国总统选举吗？ icon

瓦莱丽·佩雷斯

$1,898,024 交易量

1%

洛朗·沃奎耶会赢得2027年法国总统大选吗？ icon

洛朗·沃奎耶

$997,540 交易量

1%

问题：弗朗索瓦·阿塞勒诺将赢得2027年法国总统选举吗？ icon

分组项标题：弗朗索瓦·阿塞勒诺

$2,262,051 交易量

1%

尼古拉斯·杜邦-奈昂会在2027年法国总统选举中获胜吗？ icon

尼古拉斯·杜邦-奈昂

$2,093,737 交易量

1%

伊丽莎白·博恩会赢得2027年法国总统大选吗？ icon

伊丽莎白·博恩

$2,165,732 交易量

1%

Carole Delga 会在 2027 年的法国总统大选中获胜吗？ icon

Carole Delga

$1,759,154 交易量

1%

问题：曼努埃尔·邦巴尔会赢得2027年法国总统大选吗？ icon

分组项标题：曼努埃尔·邦巴尔

$1,524,304 交易量

1%

胡安·布兰科是否会在2027年法国总统大选中获胜？ icon

胡安·布兰科

$429,373 交易量

1%

问题：泽维尔·贝特朗会赢得2027年法国总统大选吗？ icon

泽维尔·贝特朗

$1,319,442 交易量

1%

问题：Marine Tondelier 会赢得2027年法国总统大选吗？ icon

分组项标题：Marine Tondelier

$921,074 交易量

1%

奥利维耶·福尔会赢得2027年法国总统大选吗？ icon

奥利维耶·福尔

$1,443,816 交易量

1%

Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? icon

Ségolène Royal

$1,687,339 交易量

1%

Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election? icon

Clémentine Autain

$2,201,569 交易量

1%

米歇尔·巴尼耶会赢得2027年法国总统大选吗？ icon

米歇尔·巴尼耶

$1,737,406 交易量

1%

弗朗索瓦·贝鲁会赢得2027年法国总统大选吗？ icon

弗朗索瓦·贝鲁

$2,295,166 交易量

1%

Yaël Braun-Pivet 会在2027年法国总统选举中获胜吗？ icon

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$1,686,783 交易量

1%

问题：马蒂尔德·帕诺特会赢得2027年法国总统大选吗？ icon

分组项标题：马蒂尔德·帕诺特

$1,930,004 交易量

1%

克莱芒斯·盖特会赢得2027年法国总统大选吗？ icon

克莱芒斯·盖特

$2,011,902 交易量

1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Following France's March 2026 municipal elections, which provided a preview of the fragmented political landscape ahead of the April 2027 presidential vote, trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tight first-round race led by Édouard Philippe at 23.5% and Jordan Bardella at 22.5%. Philippe's reelection as Le Havre mayor and strong runoff polling against National Rally (RN) candidates have fueled his centrist momentum, positioning him as the leading mainstream conservative option, while Bardella benefits from RN's consistent first-round leads in recent Ifop and Odoxa surveys amid voter desire for change. The crowded field, with left-wing figures like Jean-Luc Mélenchon trailing far behind, keeps the contest competitive; separation could arise from party primaries, candidate declarations, or economic shifts before nominations solidify.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
交易量
$44,737,190
结束日期
2027-04-30
市场开放时间
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Following France's March 2026 municipal elections, which provided a preview of the fragmented political landscape ahead of the April 2027 presidential vote, trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tight first-round race led by Édouard Philippe at 23.5% and Jordan Bardella at 22.5%. Philippe's reelection as Le Havre mayor and strong runoff polling against National Rally (RN) candidates have fueled his centrist momentum, positioning him as the leading mainstream conservative option, while Bardella benefits from RN's consistent first-round leads in recent Ifop and Odoxa surveys amid voter desire for change. The crowded field, with left-wing figures like Jean-Luc Mélenchon trailing far behind, keeps the contest competitive; separation could arise from party primaries, candidate declarations, or economic shifts before nominations solidify.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
交易量
$44,737,190
结束日期
2027-04-30
市场开放时间
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"下届法国总统选举"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 36 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"爱德华·菲利普"，概率为 24%，其次是"分组项标题：乔丹·巴德拉拉"，概率为 23%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 24¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 24%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"下届法国总统选举"已产生 $44.7 million 的总交易量（自Nov 13, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"下届法国总统选举"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 36 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"下届法国总统选举"的当前领先者是"爱德华·菲利普"，概率为 24%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 24%。紧随其后的结果是"分组项标题：乔丹·巴德拉拉"，概率为 23%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"下届法国总统选举"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。