The resignation of longtime Representative Eric Swalwell in April 2026 amid misconduct allegations opened California's 14th congressional district to a special election featuring a June 16 top-two primary and possible August 18 runoff. State Senator Aisha Wahab leads with strong California Democratic Party endorsement and prior district experience, positioning her as the consensus frontrunner among multiple Democratic contenders including Rakhi Israni Singh and Melissa Hernandez. The solidly Democratic district and limited Republican field further reinforce trader expectations that Wahab will secure the seat, though the compressed timeline leaves room for late shifts in voter turnout or endorsements before the primary.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Aisha Wahab 89%
Rakhi Israni Singh 16.0%
Matt Ortega 4.3%
Carin Elam 4.0%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
Aisha Wahab
89%
Melissa Hernandez
4%
Wendy Huang
2%
Carin Elam
4%
Matt Ortega
4%
Rakhi Israni Singh
23%
Victor Aguilar Jr.
4%
Aisha Wahab 89%
Rakhi Israni Singh 16.0%
Matt Ortega 4.3%
Carin Elam 4.0%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
Aisha Wahab
$434 交易量
89%
Melissa Hernandez
$212 交易量
4%
Wendy Huang
$165 交易量
2%
Carin Elam
$210 交易量
4%
Matt Ortega
$183 交易量
4%
Rakhi Israni Singh
$308 交易量
23%
Victor Aguilar Jr.
$152 交易量
4%
A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives.
This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.The resignation of longtime Representative Eric Swalwell in April 2026 amid misconduct allegations opened California's 14th congressional district to a special election featuring a June 16 top-two primary and possible August 18 runoff. State Senator Aisha Wahab leads with strong California Democratic Party endorsement and prior district experience, positioning her as the consensus frontrunner among multiple Democratic contenders including Rakhi Israni Singh and Melissa Hernandez. The solidly Democratic district and limited Republican field further reinforce trader expectations that Wahab will secure the seat, though the compressed timeline leaves room for late shifts in voter turnout or endorsements before the primary.
A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives.
This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
市场开放时间： Apr 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
交易量
$1,663结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives.
This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.The resignation of longtime Representative Eric Swalwell in April 2026 amid misconduct allegations opened California's 14th congressional district to a special election featuring a June 16 top-two primary and possible August 18 runoff. State Senator Aisha Wahab leads with strong California Democratic Party endorsement and prior district experience, positioning her as the consensus frontrunner among multiple Democratic contenders including Rakhi Israni Singh and Melissa Hernandez. The solidly Democratic district and limited Republican field further reinforce trader expectations that Wahab will secure the seat, though the compressed timeline leaves room for late shifts in voter turnout or endorsements before the primary.
A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives.
This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
交易量
$1,663结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resignation of longtime Representative Eric Swalwell in April 2026 amid misconduct allegations opened California's 14th congressional district to a special election featuring a June 16 top-two primary and possible August 18 runoff. State Senator Aisha Wahab leads with strong California Democratic Party endorsement and prior district experience, positioning her as the consensus frontrunner among multiple Democratic contenders including Rakhi Israni Singh and Melissa Hernandez. The solidly Democratic district and limited Republican field further reinforce trader expectations that Wahab will secure the seat, though the compressed timeline leaves room for late shifts in voter turnout or endorsements before the primary.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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